Project Hail Mary tracking update: $100M global opening projected

Updated projections show Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, set for over $100 million globally this weekend, up significantly from earlier $50 million North American estimates. The sci-fi adaptation opens in over 4,000 North American theaters amid strong reviews (95% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and massive trailer buzz, while Searchlight's Ready or Not 2 eyes $14 million worldwide.

Projections for Project Hail Mary have surged from the $50 million North American opening estimated last month to over $60 million domestically and $100 million globally across 82 territories, with 90% from overseas markets including the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico, Brazil, Australia, Korea, Japan, and China (handled by Sony). Geopolitical concerns may impact the Middle East. Directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller from Andy Weir's novel, the $190 million net production (Lord, Miller, Amy Pascal, Rachel O’Connor, Aditya Sood, Weir, Gosling) features premium formats like IMAX, PLFs, and D-Box.

Fresh off a 95% certified fresh critics score and 98% audience score, early previews in 29 70MM locations sold out, bolstered by Prime Early Access IMAX/PLF screenings. Promotional momentum kicked off at CinemaCon in April, peaked at San Diego Comic-Con in July with a trailer amassing over 400 million views—the biggest for a non-franchise/non-sequel—propelling Weir's book back onto New York Times and Audible bestseller lists. This positions it as Amazon MGM's potential largest domestic/global opener, topping Creed III's $58.3 million in 2023. Comps include The Martian's $54.3 million domestic start and Interstellar's $681 million worldwide.

Meanwhile, Searchlight's Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (74% on Rotten Tomatoes, below the original's 89%) projects $11 million domestic from 3,000 theaters and $3 million overseas for $14 million total. Starring Samara Weaving, Sarah Michelle Gellar, Elijah Wood, and Kathryn Newton, the sequel follows the 2019 hit that opened to $8 million and grossed $57.6 million globally off $6 million.

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Realistic depiction of Super Mario Galaxy Movie theater marquee celebrating $629 million box office nearing $700 million, with crowds and galactic visuals.
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Super Mario Galaxy Movie nears $700 million worldwide

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Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie grossed $152.1 million worldwide in its second weekend, pushing its global cumulative total to $629 million. The animated sequel now stands as the highest-grossing MPA release of 2026, trailing only China's Pegasus 3. It is projected to reach $700 million next weekend.

Andy Weir's Project Hail Mary led Goodreads' most-read books in April with 147,000 readers. The sci-fi novel saw renewed interest from its movie adaptation starring Ryan Gosling, now in theaters. Other top spots went to romance, thriller, and romantasy titles.

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Building on last week's indie top 10 success with 'Faces of Death', 'Exit 8' and 'A Great Awakening', several independent films again posted strong earnings this weekend. A24's 'Mother Mary' led limited releases, while Neon titles 'Exit 8' and 'The Christophers' expanded successfully. Holdover 'A Great Awakening' stayed in the top 10 amid a robust specialty box office featuring new docs and indies.

Amazon reported first-quarter revenue of $181.5 billion, surpassing Wall Street expectations with a 17% year-over-year increase. CEO Andy Jassy highlighted the success of Project Hail Mary, which has earned nearly $615 million at the box office to date. Amazon Web Services revenue reached $37.6 billion, up 28%.

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The Michael Jackson biopic 'Michael' debuted with $97.2 million in North America and $218.8 million globally over its opening weekend. The Lionsgate release earned $25.4 million on Sunday, exceeding expectations by $400,000. It marks the second-largest global opening of 2026 so far.

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