Project Hail Mary tracking update: $100M global opening projected

Updated projections show Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary, starring Ryan Gosling, set for over $100 million globally this weekend, up significantly from earlier $50 million North American estimates. The sci-fi adaptation opens in over 4,000 North American theaters amid strong reviews (95% critics, 98% audience on Rotten Tomatoes) and massive trailer buzz, while Searchlight's Ready or Not 2 eyes $14 million worldwide.

Projections for Project Hail Mary have surged from the $50 million North American opening estimated last month to over $60 million domestically and $100 million globally across 82 territories, with 90% from overseas markets including the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico, Brazil, Australia, Korea, Japan, and China (handled by Sony). Geopolitical concerns may impact the Middle East. Directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller from Andy Weir's novel, the $190 million net production (Lord, Miller, Amy Pascal, Rachel O’Connor, Aditya Sood, Weir, Gosling) features premium formats like IMAX, PLFs, and D-Box.

Fresh off a 95% certified fresh critics score and 98% audience score, early previews in 29 70MM locations sold out, bolstered by Prime Early Access IMAX/PLF screenings. Promotional momentum kicked off at CinemaCon in April, peaked at San Diego Comic-Con in July with a trailer amassing over 400 million views—the biggest for a non-franchise/non-sequel—propelling Weir's book back onto New York Times and Audible bestseller lists. This positions it as Amazon MGM's potential largest domestic/global opener, topping Creed III's $58.3 million in 2023. Comps include The Martian's $54.3 million domestic start and Interstellar's $681 million worldwide.

Meanwhile, Searchlight's Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (74% on Rotten Tomatoes, below the original's 89%) projects $11 million domestic from 3,000 theaters and $3 million overseas for $14 million total. Starring Samara Weaving, Sarah Michelle Gellar, Elijah Wood, and Kathryn Newton, the sequel follows the 2019 hit that opened to $8 million and grossed $57.6 million globally off $6 million.

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Dynamic illustration of Project Hail Mary film's record $140.9 million global opening, featuring Ryan Gosling poster, cheering crowds at a packed theater, and nods to directors and Meryl Streep cameo.
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Project Hail Mary debuts to $140.9 million globally

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Ryan Gosling-starring sci-fi film Project Hail Mary opened to $140.9 million worldwide, including $80.5 million in North America and $60.4 million internationally from 82 markets. The debut marks Amazon MGM Studios' biggest opening and the largest for a non-franchise film this year. Directors Phil Lord and Chris Miller revealed a surprise uncredited voice cameo by Meryl Streep.

Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary is tracking for a strong $50 million debut in North America when it opens on March 20. The sci-fi film starring Ryan Gosling also competes with Searchlight's Ready or Not 2, projected at $11 million. Both films arrive during a peak spring break weekend.

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Amazon MGM Studios' Project Hail Mary grossed $53.1 million in its second weekend, surpassing the second-weekend hauls of Oppenheimer and Dune: Part Two. The Ryan Gosling-led film, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, dropped just 34% from its opening after a Friday take of $14.6 million. New Line's They Will Kill You opened to a modest $5 million to $5.5 million.

Illumination, Nintendo and Universal's Super Mario Galaxy Movie is set for a $350 million worldwide debut over the Easter weekend. The animated feature is expected to gross $175 million in the US and Canada across five days at 4,000 theaters, with another $175 million from 79 international markets excluding Japan. This would mark the biggest opening of the year so far.

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Building on last week's indie top 10 success with 'Faces of Death', 'Exit 8' and 'A Great Awakening', several independent films again posted strong earnings this weekend. A24's 'Mother Mary' led limited releases, while Neon titles 'Exit 8' and 'The Christophers' expanded successfully. Holdover 'A Great Awakening' stayed in the top 10 amid a robust specialty box office featuring new docs and indies.

Lionsgate and Kingdom Story's faith-based sequel I Can Only Imagine 2 is projected to open with $8 million to $10 million this weekend, placing third behind the ongoing battle for first between Sony's GOAT and Warner Bros/MRC's Wuthering Heights. The new release earned $1.8 million in previews, surpassing the original film's preview figure. Both GOAT and Wuthering Heights are expected to gross $12 million to $14 million each over the weekend.

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20th Century Studios' The Devil Wears Prada 2 launched with $10 million in Thursday US previews and $33 million on Friday, positioning it for a $75 million to $80 million three-day domestic debut. The sequel, starring Anne Hathaway, Meryl Streep, Emily Blunt, and Stanley Tucci, has generated over $50.5 million worldwide already. Exhibitors report strong presales and themed events boosting attendance.

 

 

 

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