Tesla publishes Q4 2025 delivery consensus on IR website

Tesla has for the first time added its compiled analyst consensus for Q4 2025 to its investor relations website, showing projections of 422,850 vehicle deliveries and 13.4 GWh energy storage. This follows recent analyst predictions of a shortfall versus earlier estimates, enhancing public access to the data.

Tesla has updated its investor relations website with the company's official compilation of analyst delivery consensus, a first for the firm. Previously shared selectively, these quarterly figures are now directly accessible to the public.

The consensus anticipates 422,850 vehicle deliveries and 13.4 GWh of energy storage deployment for Q4 2025 (October-December). This disclosure comes amid bearish analyst outlooks, including projections from UBS and New Street Research of around 415,000-435,000 vehicles—below prior market expectations of about 440,000—due to expiring EV incentives and regional weakness, particularly in the US.

By making this data readily available, Tesla improves transparency for investors tracking upcoming results, set for announcement on January 2, 2026.

ተያያዥ ጽሁፎች

Illustration of Tesla Gigafactory lot with few vehicles and sign showing Q4 2025 delivery consensus of 422,850, down 15% amid softening demand.
በ AI የተሰራ ምስል

Tesla publishes unusually low Q4 delivery consensus

በAI የተዘገበ በ AI የተሰራ ምስል

Tesla has released a company-compiled consensus estimate projecting 422,850 vehicle deliveries for the fourth quarter of 2025, a 15% decline from the previous year. This figure, lower than independent compilations like Bloomberg's 445,061, marks an unusual public disclosure ahead of the official report due on January 2, 2026. The move appears aimed at managing expectations amid softer demand following the expiration of U.S. EV tax credits.

Tesla's unusual pre-earnings consensus of 422,850 Q4 2025 vehicle deliveries—a 15% drop from 2024 and below Wall Street's 440,000-445,000 forecast—highlights persistent EV headwinds. Added challenges include a post-tax-credit US sales trough, Chinese rivals, and a nearly 30% plunge in European demand linked to CEO Elon Musk's political activities.

በAI የተዘገበ

Tesla delivered 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a 16% year-over-year decline and missing Wall Street estimates. The results highlight ongoing demand challenges and setbacks in the Optimus robot program, though energy storage deployments provided a bright spot. Shares rose 3% following President Trump's endorsement of Elon Musk.

Tesla reported Q3 2025 revenue of $28.1 billion, beating expectations, but adjusted EPS of $0.50 missed estimates amid a 37% drop in net income. Vehicle deliveries reached a record 497,099 units, boosted by U.S. buyers rushing before EV tax credits expired. The energy storage segment grew sharply, with deployments hitting 12.5 GWh.

በAI የተዘገበ

Tesla reported its first annual revenue decline in 2025, down 3% to $94.8 billion amid EV weakness, but its energy storage business hit a record 46.7 GWh deployments, driving 26.6% revenue growth to $12.8 billion with 29.8% margins. The segment's success highlighted a strategic pivot to AI, robotics, and energy, though 2026 faces margin pressures from competition and policy shifts. Shares rose 3% after hours.

Tesla reported a 46% drop in 2025 full-year profits to $3.8 billion—the first annual revenue decline—due to falling vehicle deliveries, competition, and lost EV tax credits. Despite Q4 challenges, it beat earnings estimates, unveiled a strategic shift to 'physical AI' including scrapping Model S/X production, launching TerraFab chip factory, ramping robotaxis and Optimus robots, and planning $20B+ capex, fueling analyst optimism and a forward P/E ratio of 196 versus auto peers.

በAI የተዘገበ

Tesla has delivered 1.64 million vehicles in 2025, a 9% decline from the previous year, allowing Chinese rival BYD to surpass it with 2.26 million sales and claim the title of world's largest electric vehicle maker. The drop stems from backlash over CEO Elon Musk's politics, the expiration of U.S. tax credits, and intensifying global competition. Despite the setback, investors remain optimistic about Tesla's pivot to robotaxis and humanoid robots.

 

 

 

ይህ ድረ-ገጽ ኩኪዎችን ይጠቀማል

የእኛን ጣቢያ ለማሻሻል ለትንታኔ ኩኪዎችን እንጠቀማለን። የእኛን የሚስጥር ፖሊሲ አንብቡ የሚስጥር ፖሊሲ ለተጨማሪ መረጃ።
ውድቅ አድርግ