Dramatic illustration of Colombia's central bank boardroom tension as Finance Minister walks out amid 11.25% rate hike vote.
Dramatic illustration of Colombia's central bank boardroom tension as Finance Minister walks out amid 11.25% rate hike vote.
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Colombia's central bank raises rate to 11.25% in second 2026 hike amid government walkout

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Following its January hike to 10.25%, Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by another 100 basis points to 11.25% in a tight 4-3 vote during its second meeting of the year. Finance Minister Germán Ávila walked out of the board meeting and announced the government's withdrawal from the central bank over disagreements. President Gustavo Petro backed the move and criticized the monetary policy.

Following January's rate hike to 10.25%, Colombia's Banco de la República decided to raise the interest rate again to 11.25% on March 31, 2026, citing February inflation at 5.29%, above the 2-4% target range, elevated expectations, and pressures from the Gulf conflict. "The decision to increase the rate is to moderate money issuance and inflationary impact," said manager Leonardo Villar.

Finance Minister Germán Ávila left the meeting early, arguing the move favors financial interests and harms economic recovery. "They are taking irresponsible decisions for the country," Ávila said, calling for a public debate on monetary policy.

Petro backed Ávila on X: "The Government withdraws from the Board. We are not participants in a suicidal opposition stance." He also called appointing Olga Lucía Acosta as co-director his "biggest mistake," as she has been key in resisting rate cuts. Economists like Camilo Pérez praised Acosta for preserving the bank's independence.

Villar defended the central bank's constitutional autonomy: "We act for the country's well-being." Ávila would breach a legal mandate by not attending, per Villar, who hopes for future consensus.

What people are saying

Reactions on X to Banco de la República's rate hike to 11.25% in a 4-3 vote are polarized. President Petro and allies denounce it as a politically motivated move by 'uribistas' to sabotage the economy, benefit bankers, and increase public debt costs, leading to the government's withdrawal from the board. Supporters praise the bank's independence and focus on curbing inflation. Media outlets neutrally cover Finance Minister Ávila's walkout, Gerente Villar's defense of the constitutional mandate, and potential market uncertainty.

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Banco de la República board announcing 100 basis point interest rate hike to 10.25% due to inflation from minimum wage increase, with concerned Finance Minister.
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Banco de la República hikes interest rate to 10.25% amid inflation surge and minimum wage controversy

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Colombia's Banco de la República raised its intervention rate by 100 basis points to 10.25%—the highest in over a year—in its first 2026 board meeting, citing persistent inflation above 5% for nearly six months and unanchored expectations from a 23.8% minimum wage hike decreed by President Petro's government. The decision, with a split 4-2-1 vote, drew market surprise and government criticism over economic contraction risks.

Colombia's financial market anticipates that the Banco de la República will raise its interest rate at the January 30, 2026 meeting, according to a Citi survey. Out of 25 consulted entities, 17 expect an adjustment to 9.75%, while only five foresee it staying at 9.5%. This outlook is driven by the minimum wage increase and inflation projected at 5.8%.

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Colombia's central bank may hike its policy rate by 50 basis points to 9.75% at its January 30 meeting, according to analysts surveyed by Anif and Corficolombiana. The move would address 2025 inflation of 5.15% and a 23% minimum wage increase that has boosted inflation expectations. The global context, with steady Fed rates and Brazil's policy, shapes the local outlook.

President Gustavo Petro presented on X several proposals to counter the effects of the Banco de la República's reference rate hike to 11.25%, which he called unconstitutional. Measures include subsidies for fertilizers, low-rate housing policies, and land distribution to peasants. He also called for self-regulation in fuel consumption amid the Middle East war.

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One week after President Gustavo Petro decreed a 23% minimum wage increase for 2026—setting it at 1,750,905 pesos based on ILO 'minimum vital' standards for a three-person family—experts warn of inflation exceeding 6%, interest rates rising to 11-12%, and price hikes across sectors, potentially eroding informal workers' purchasing power.

Mexico's central bank (Banxico) cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—following its prior reduction to 7% in December 2025—approved by a 3-2 vote amid persistent inflationary pressures from fruit/vegetable surges and geopolitical tensions. The Board signaled potential for another cut based on evolving conditions, with analysts split on timing.

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Banco Central president Gabriel Galípolo called for caution in Brazil's interest rate policy on Monday amid global uncertainties from the Iran war. Speaking at a seminar in Rio de Janeiro, he stressed taking safer steps to address inflation pressures. Former BC president Arminio Fraga criticized the government's fiscal policy for not supporting the central bank.

 

 

 

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