February inflation hit low-income households harder

Consultancy firm Empiria reported that in February 2026, the poorest 10% of households faced 3.3% inflation, compared to 2.9% for the richest 10%. The gap stems from the heavier weight of food and housing in low-income baskets. INDEC confirmed a general monthly inflation rate of 2.9%.

Empiria Consultores' report, led by Hernán Lacunza, notes that February 2026 inflation was regressive. “In February, the poorest 10% of households had 3.3% inflation while the richest 10% had 2.9%,” the document states. The disparity arises from basket composition: food and beverages account for 32% of spending in the poorest decile (versus 16% in the richest), and housing with electricity tariffs 18% versus 12% in wealthier homes, based on the 2017/2018 National Household Expenditure Survey (ENGHo). Top increases were in housing and electricity (6.6%) and food (3.3%), while alcoholic beverages rose 0.6% and clothing stayed flat. Core inflation hit 3.1%, up from January's 2.6%, with regulated prices at 4.3%. The bimonthly total reached 5.9%, 1.2 points above 2025, and year-on-year 33.1%. Historically, the gap between rich and poor stayed under 1% since 2018, but since November 2023 it was slightly higher for the rich. Empiria forecasts annual inflation around 30% for 2026, similar to 2025.

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Illustration showing Colombia's February 2026 inflation at 5.29%, with easing trend chart, food and education price symbols, and Central Bank target.
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Colombia's inflation eases to 5.29% in February 2026

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's annual inflation for February 2026 was 5.29%, a slight slowdown from January's 5.35%. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) variation stood at 1.08%, driven by rises in education and food. This figure remains above the Central Bank's target range of 3%.

Inflation in the Philippines rose to 2.0% in January 2026, marking the second consecutive month of rising prices for goods, according to the Philippine Statistics Authority on February 5. This was up from 1.8% in December 2025. The increase stemmed from higher inflation in housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels.

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Egypt’s annual urban headline inflation accelerated to 13.4% in February 2026, up from 11.9% in January, driven by seasonal rises in food and non-food prices. Food inflation reached 4.6%, while non-food inflation climbed to 19.3%.

Building on Dane's initial report of 5.29% annual inflation for February 2026—below January's 5.35% and market expectations around 5.5%—Anif analysis credits a $500-per-gallon gasoline price reduction as the main factor. Without it, inflation would have accelerated to 5.38%. Services and food exerted upward pressure, offset by regulated price relief.

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CORE Indonesia projects March 2026 annual inflation at 3.5-3.6 percent, down from February's 4.76 percent. The forecast reflects a low-base effect from electricity tariffs, though Lebaran and non-subsidized fuel prices may push monthly inflation higher. Official BPS data is due on April 1, 2026.

Colombia's inflation is projected at 4.9% for 2026, missing the Banco de la República's target range for the sixth consecutive year. A Corficolombiana report estimates it will close 2025 at 5.2%, roughly the same as last year, signaling a stall in disinflation. The goal of nearing 3% is now delayed until 2027.

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One week after President Gustavo Petro decreed a 23% minimum wage increase for 2026—setting it at 1,750,905 pesos based on ILO 'minimum vital' standards for a three-person family—experts warn of inflation exceeding 6%, interest rates rising to 11-12%, and price hikes across sectors, potentially eroding informal workers' purchasing power.

 

 

 

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