February inflation hit low-income households harder

Consultancy firm Empiria reported that in February 2026, the poorest 10% of households faced 3.3% inflation, compared to 2.9% for the richest 10%. The gap stems from the heavier weight of food and housing in low-income baskets. INDEC confirmed a general monthly inflation rate of 2.9%.

Empiria Consultores' report, led by Hernán Lacunza, notes that February 2026 inflation was regressive. “In February, the poorest 10% of households had 3.3% inflation while the richest 10% had 2.9%,” the document states. The disparity arises from basket composition: food and beverages account for 32% of spending in the poorest decile (versus 16% in the richest), and housing with electricity tariffs 18% versus 12% in wealthier homes, based on the 2017/2018 National Household Expenditure Survey (ENGHo). Top increases were in housing and electricity (6.6%) and food (3.3%), while alcoholic beverages rose 0.6% and clothing stayed flat. Core inflation hit 3.1%, up from January's 2.6%, with regulated prices at 4.3%. The bimonthly total reached 5.9%, 1.2 points above 2025, and year-on-year 33.1%. Historically, the gap between rich and poor stayed under 1% since 2018, but since November 2023 it was slightly higher for the rich. Empiria forecasts annual inflation around 30% for 2026, similar to 2025.

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Illustration showing Colombia's February 2026 inflation at 5.29%, with easing trend chart, food and education price symbols, and Central Bank target.
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Colombia's inflation eases to 5.29% in February 2026

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The National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that Colombia's annual inflation for February 2026 was 5.29%, a slight slowdown from January's 5.35%. The monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) variation stood at 1.08%, driven by rises in education and food. This figure remains above the Central Bank's target range of 3%.

Egypt’s annual urban headline inflation accelerated to 13.4% in February 2026, up from 11.9% in January, driven by seasonal rises in food and non-food prices. Food inflation reached 4.6%, while non-food inflation climbed to 19.3%.

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Biro Statistik Tenaga Kerja AS melaporkan bahwa Indeks Harga Konsumen untuk Februari 2026 naik 0,3% dari bulan sebelumnya dan tetap di 2,4% dibandingkan tahun sebelumnya, sesuai dengan perkiraan ekonom. CPI inti, yang mengecualikan pangan dan energi, naik 0,2% bulanan dan tetap di 2,5% secara tahunan. Meskipun inflasi menunjukkan stabilitas sebelum perang AS-Israel-Iran baru-baru ini, harga minyak yang melonjak diharapkan mendorong pembacaan mendatang lebih tinggi.

The Banco de la República released its Monthly Survey of Economists' Expectations, forecasting year-end inflation at 6.32% and interest rates at 12.25%. These projections mark an upward revision from March. Experts anticipate a gradual moderation in subsequent years.

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Economy Minister Luis Caputo projected that March inflation will exceed 3%, driven by oil impacts and educational seasonality. The official INDEC data will be released on Tuesday, April 14, at 4 p.m. Caputo assured that disinflation and economic growth will begin from April.

Indeks harga konsumen utama Jepang naik 1,5% secara tahunan pada Maret, meningkat dari 1,3% pada Februari dan melampaui konsensus pasar sebesar 1,4%. Inflasi inti, tidak termasuk makanan segar, naik menjadi 1,8%, menandai percepatan pertama dalam lima bulan. Data tersebut tetap menunjukkan kenaikan meski ada subsidi pemerintah yang ditujukan untuk menekan harga.

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Tokyo's core consumer price index rose 1.8% in February, falling below the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the first time since October 2024. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's utility subsidies curbed household energy costs, posing a communication challenge for the central bank's planned interest rate hikes. The figure exceeded economists' median forecast of 1.7%.

 

 

 

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