Illustration depicting public protests against Brazil's STF amid record distrust poll results from Datafolha.
Illustration depicting public protests against Brazil's STF amid record distrust poll results from Datafolha.
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Datafolha records peak distrust in STF and Judiciary

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A Datafolha poll released on March 11, 2026, shows distrust in the Supreme Federal Court (STF) reaching 43%, the highest since 2012, while in the Judiciary it hit 36%, also a record. The survey, conducted from March 3 to 5 with 2,004 people in 137 municipalities, indicates worsening trust in seven out of eight institutions analyzed since December 2024. The public overwhelmingly rejects questionable ethical conduct by STF justices.

The Datafolha poll, registered with the TSE under number BR-03715/2026, interviewed 2,004 Brazilians aged 16 or older in 137 municipalities, with a two-percentage-point margin of error.

From December 2024 to March 2026, trust worsened in seven of eight institutions. Political parties remain at the top of distrust, with 52% of the population stating no credit in them, stable from 50% previously, within the margin of error.

The STF recorded its highest distrust at 43%, up from 38% in December 2024, while full trust fell from 24% to 16%. In the Judiciary, 36% declare no trust, a record since 2017, up from 28%. Evaluation of the STF justices' work is excellent or good for 23%, down from 32%, and poor or terrible for 39%, up from 35%.

Dissatisfaction is higher among men (46%), highly educated people (45%), and those with income above 10 minimum wages (65% disapproval). Lula (PT) voters show 44% satisfaction with the STF, versus 7% among Jair Bolsonaro (PL) supporters, convicted by the court in 2025 for an attempted coup.

Factors like the Master case, involving ties between justices Dias Toffoli and Alexandre de Moraes and banker Daniel Vorcaro, contribute to the wear. Toffoli stepped down as rapporteur after PF identified purchases by bank-linked funds in his family business. Moraes' wife has a contract worth up to R$ 129 million with Master.

On ethics, 79% disagree with justices judging cases involving relatives' clients; 78% reject them being company shareholders; 76% oppose payments for private lectures. In 2023, the STF annulled a 7-4 rule prohibiting such judging, with votes from Moraes and Toffoli. President Edson Fachin resumed ethics code debates but postponed them until after elections, assigning rapporteurship to Cármen Lúcia.

Other institutions: Presidency of the Republic, 43% distrust (up from 36%); press, 36% (up from 28%); Armed Forces, 27% (record, after 2025 convictions); large companies, 26% (up from 20%); National Congress, 45% no trust, 14% rate excellent or good (down 7pp).

Distrust in the Legislature is greater among the more educated (10% satisfied vs. 20% among less educated) and men (43% poor/terrible).

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Senate rejects Jorge Messias's STF nomination 42-34

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Brazil's Senate rejected Attorney-General Jorge Messias's nomination to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) on Wednesday (April 29, 2026), with 42 votes against and 34 in favor. The vote marks the first rejection of a presidential nominee to the Court in 132 years, since 1894. Messias had been approved by the CCJ committee 16-11 after an eight-hour hearing.

Brazil's Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry (CPI) on Organized Crime rejected Senator Alessandro Vieira's (MDB-SE) final report on Tuesday (April 14), which proposed indicting three Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices and the Attorney General. The report was defeated 6-4 after changes in the commission's composition. The substitutions favored government-aligned members, swaying the vote outcome.

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A Datafolha poll released on April 11, 2026, shows the negative evaluation of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's government steady at 40%, while positive ratings fell from 32% to 29%. Disapproval of Lula's performance rose to 51%, with approval at 45%. Conducted April 7-9, the survey signals a tight race ahead of the 2026 elections.

STF President Edson Fachin rejected a Senate CPI of Organized Crime's appeal against Justice Gilmar Mendes' earlier suspension of secrecy breaks on Maridt Participações, a firm linked to Justice Dias Toffoli. This keeps the company's banking, fiscal, phone, and telematic records sealed amid probes into financial irregularities and possible organized crime ties.

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