Pending home sales unexpectedly rise 1.8% in February

The National Association of Realtors pending home sales index rose 1.8% to 72.1 in February, defying expectations of a 0.6% decline. This marks a 0.8% fall from the previous year. The index remains well below historical peaks.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that its pending home sales index increased by 1.8% in February to 72.1. Economists had anticipated a 0.6% drop, making the rise unexpected. Compared to the year-ago period, the index is down 0.8% according to the data released on March 17, 2026, by author Jennifer Nash on Seeking Alpha. The index stands 44% below its all-time high recorded in August 2020. On a population-adjusted basis, it is 51% off its peak from April 2005. Contributing to market conditions, Freddie Mac noted that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.05% in February 2026, the lowest monthly average since August 2022.

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

Existing home sales in the United States fell 3.6% in March after a brief rebound the previous month. The National Association of Realtors reported a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million units, the lowest since last June. NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun attributed the slowdown to lower consumer confidence and softer job growth.

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New home sales in the US fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 587,000 units in January 2026, the lowest level since 2022, according to Census Bureau data. The decline marked nearly a 20% drop. The median price stood at $400,500, remaining above $400,000 for a sixth straight month but at the lowest in that period.

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Employers in the United States added 178,000 jobs in March, far exceeding economist expectations of 59,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3 percent. This rebound followed a weak February, when payrolls dropped by 133,000. The White House highlighted the strong figures on social media.

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After a 2.6% drop in economic activity in February, according to INDEC, private consultancies estimate a March recovery driven by agriculture. Equilibra forecasts a 1.5% year-on-year rise and 1% monthly desesasonalized. The first quarter would end with 0.4% growth versus 2025.

 

 

 

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