Pending home sales unexpectedly rise 1.8% in February

The National Association of Realtors pending home sales index rose 1.8% to 72.1 in February, defying expectations of a 0.6% decline. This marks a 0.8% fall from the previous year. The index remains well below historical peaks.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that its pending home sales index increased by 1.8% in February to 72.1. Economists had anticipated a 0.6% drop, making the rise unexpected. Compared to the year-ago period, the index is down 0.8% according to the data released on March 17, 2026, by author Jennifer Nash on Seeking Alpha. The index stands 44% below its all-time high recorded in August 2020. On a population-adjusted basis, it is 51% off its peak from April 2005. Contributing to market conditions, Freddie Mac noted that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.05% in February 2026, the lowest monthly average since August 2022.

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News illustration of steady U.S. February CPI data at 2.4% amid expected oil price surges from geopolitical tensions.
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February CPI holds steady above Fed's target

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

New home sales in the US fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 587,000 units in January 2026, the lowest level since 2022, according to Census Bureau data. The decline marked nearly a 20% drop. The median price stood at $400,500, remaining above $400,000 for a sixth straight month but at the lowest in that period.

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US retail sales declined by 0.2% in January, marking a slowdown from December's flat performance but outperforming economists' forecasts of a 0.3% drop. Core sales excluding autos remained unchanged. Year-over-year, sales rose by 3.2%.

Mortgage rates for ten-year loans in Germany have reached their highest level in over two years, averaging 3.85 percent. This rise is linked to increasing yields on federal bonds, which recently stood at 2.87 percent. Experts forecast a further moderate upward trend in 2026.

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The Producer Price Index report indicates that wholesale inflation for final demand rose by 0.5% in January. This figure exceeded economists' expectations of 0.3% growth and followed a 0.4% increase in December. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, climbed 0.8% during the month.

Banks' overall loan rates edged down in October amid the central bank's monetary easing, though mortgage rates climbed due to tighter lending regulations. Corporate loan rates fell for the fifth straight month, while household rates rose for the first time since December 2024. The changes reflect efforts to cool the overheated property market and curb household debt.

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A Bank of Japan quarterly survey for December 2025 showed consumer sentiment rising for two straight quarters, while views on living conditions worsened for the first time in two quarters. The results suggest more people believe the overall economy is improving, though higher prices are burdening livelihoods.

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