Buenos Aires real estate stalls further in early 2026 amid ongoing mortgage slump

Following initial signs of slowdown in late 2025, Buenos Aires' real estate market has stalled in early 2026 with four consecutive months of declining mortgages, developer Miguel Chej Muse said. Prices present buying opportunities amid tight credit, while rentals remain active.

Developer Miguel Chej Muse described Buenos Aires' real estate market as entering a transitional slowdown phase after a record 2025, building on early warning signs like the 8.8% drop in November deeds. "We come from a very good 2025… but the trend reversed quickly," he said, noting drops in deed volumes into early 2026. Mortgages have declined for four straight months: “We're already at four straight months of decline… this is truly discouraging,” he added, blaming low credit-backed deals, stricter bank scorings, and rates of 15-18% that halted prior momentum. The mortgage lag affects sales 3-5 months later, fostering uncertainty.

Despite challenges, opportunities persist: square meter prices at 1,800-1,900 dollars lag the dollar's value. “It's a good opportunity to buy a nice apartment, because in a few years it will be much more expensive,” Muse advised. The rental market is robust with 14,000 listings, rents 30% below recent inflation (despite wage lags), yielding over 6% gross. Landlords prioritize reliable tenants over maximum profits. “It's a mature relationship between both sides… trying to make it work together,” he summarized.

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Vibrant illustration of Argentina's Atlantic Coast preparing for a lively summer 2026, showing crowded beaches, highway radars, SUBE payment conveniences, and packed hotels.
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Preparations for a lively summer 2026 on the Atlantic Coast

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Argentine authorities have implemented new safety measures and payment conveniences to boost tourism on the Atlantic Coast for summer 2026. Radars have been installed on key routes and additional options for the SUBE system activated, while experts forecast hotel occupancy higher than projected.

In November 2025, real estate purchase deeds in Buenos Aires dropped 8.8% compared to the same month in 2024, with 5,250 operations signed. Despite the decline, the total transaction value rose 51.5% year-over-year to $885.985 million pesos. The sector is slowing down, affected by fewer mortgages, according to the College of Notaries.

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Rental prices in Buenos Aires rose 9.6% in the first quarter of 2026, according to Zonaprop data. A studio apartment averages $704,704 monthly, with a 34.7% year-over-year increase. Puerto Madero remains the most expensive neighborhood.

Argentina's Central Bank released its latest Market Expectations Survey, drawing from 45 analysts' projections, estimating 2.4% inflation for January 2026 and a dollar rate of $1,475 in February.

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In 2025, Barranquilla saw a 58.39% rise in new housing sales, outpacing the national growth of 12.45% by 4.6 times, per Camacol Atlántico data. Mayor Alejandro Char credited the 'Mi Techo Propio' subsidy program for this performance. The increase occurred across all housing market segments.

The Fondo Nacional de Ahorro and Banco Agrario lead with the lowest rates for mortgage credits and leasing on VIS and non-VIS housing in February, per Superintendencia Financiera data as of January 23. These rates reflect recent adjustments in the usury and interest rates, benefiting potential homebuyers. The overall leasing average stands at 12.30%.

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Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced a new issuance of dollar-denominated bonds under local law to raise up to USD 2,000 million in the first half of 2026, aimed at meeting July debt maturities. The auctions will be biweekly and absorb up to USD 500 million per month. This step is part of the strategy to prepare for a return to international markets.

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