Buenos Aires real estate stalls further in early 2026 amid ongoing mortgage slump

Following initial signs of slowdown in late 2025, Buenos Aires' real estate market has stalled in early 2026 with four consecutive months of declining mortgages, developer Miguel Chej Muse said. Prices present buying opportunities amid tight credit, while rentals remain active.

Developer Miguel Chej Muse described Buenos Aires' real estate market as entering a transitional slowdown phase after a record 2025, building on early warning signs like the 8.8% drop in November deeds. "We come from a very good 2025… but the trend reversed quickly," he said, noting drops in deed volumes into early 2026. Mortgages have declined for four straight months: “We're already at four straight months of decline… this is truly discouraging,” he added, blaming low credit-backed deals, stricter bank scorings, and rates of 15-18% that halted prior momentum. The mortgage lag affects sales 3-5 months later, fostering uncertainty.

Despite challenges, opportunities persist: square meter prices at 1,800-1,900 dollars lag the dollar's value. “It's a good opportunity to buy a nice apartment, because in a few years it will be much more expensive,” Muse advised. The rental market is robust with 14,000 listings, rents 30% below recent inflation (despite wage lags), yielding over 6% gross. Landlords prioritize reliable tenants over maximum profits. “It's a mature relationship between both sides… trying to make it work together,” he summarized.

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Rental prices in Buenos Aires rose 9.6% in the first quarter of 2026, according to Zonaprop data. A studio apartment averages $704,704 monthly, with a 34.7% year-over-year increase. Puerto Madero remains the most expensive neighborhood.

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Mario Andrés Ramírez, president of Fedelonjas, warned of a 6.5% drop in new housing sales in the first quarter of 2026 compared to 2025, due to high credit costs and fewer subsidies. In cities, nearly half the population lives in apartments, with rentals becoming the dominant form of occupancy. The federation calls for professional management of the rental market.

The latest Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) from the Banco Central has raised inflation expectations for March and the rest of 2026. Consultancies forecast 3.0% for March, with an annual projection of 29.1%. They also updated estimates for the dollar, GDP, and unemployment.

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Egypt’s real estate market continues to demonstrate resilience despite ongoing regional uncertainty, according to Savills Egypt. Developers are maintaining project pipelines and demand holds steady, despite rising energy costs.

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