As nominations for the 2025 Oscars draw near, industry observers describe the contest as unusually uncertain, lacking a clear frontrunner. Blogs like Awards Daily capture the sentiment of a season marked by shifting narratives and prominent contenders like Timothée Chalamet and Mikey Madison.
The 2025 Oscar season has been characterized by unpredictability, with commentators likening it to 'the blind leading the blind' and a 'Ponzi scheme' that feels directionless. According to posts on Awards Daily, nominations are set to be announced on Thursday morning, catching many off guard with their sudden approach.
Writers reflect on the role of narratives in determining winners, drawing parallels to past surprises such as Crash upsetting expectations after Oppenheimer, or Everything Everywhere All at Once following No Country for Old Men. One analysis notes, 'For every Oppenheimer, there is a Crash,' underscoring how momentum can swing dramatically.
Emerging frontrunners include Timothée Chalamet, who is 'hitting a high in his awards trajectory' and dominating social media and campaigns ahead of the Golden Globes. In the Best Actress category, Mikey Madison is positioned as the one 'to lose,' though smear campaigns and controversies remain a risk as the season intensifies.
Discussions also preview Golden Globe decisions and highlight strong ensembles and directors, with the race described as 'in need of a frontrunner' that may emerge this weekend. Overall, the season feels sparse, with fewer standout films than in previous years, leading to speculation about gatecrashers in the final predictions.