China confirms 4.5-5% economic growth target for 2026 amid 'two sessions'

China has set its 2026 economic growth target at 4.5 to 5 percent, striving for better results, as announced in a government work report submitted to the National People's Congress on March 6, 2026—confirming earlier January reports of this range.

The Chinese government submitted its annual work report on Thursday, March 6, 2026, to the National People's Congress (NPC), officially setting the 2026 economic growth target at 4.5 to 5 percent while aiming to outperform it in practice. This comes during the key 'two sessions' meetings of the NPC and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference.

Confirming speculation from January based on briefed sources, the target reflects a flexible range emphasizing high-quality development, structural reforms, and resilience against domestic challenges like property sector issues and global uncertainties such as potential U.S. tariffs.

The announcement, a cornerstone of the year's economic policy, accompanies other major disclosures that week, including defense spending and AI development goals, underscoring balanced priorities in the new five-year plan era.

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Realistic illustration of China's 2026 Two Sessions press conference highlighting GDP growth targets and leaders including Premier Li Qiang and Xi Jinping.
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Economy press conference highlights from China's 2026 Two Sessions

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Following Premier Li Qiang's government work report setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5%, Zheng Shanjie of the National Development and Reform Commission projected over 6 trillion yuan GDP growth this year at the NPC economy press conference. The service sector is expected to exceed 100 trillion yuan during the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030). Leaders including Xi Jinping emphasized high-quality development amid the sessions.

Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report to China's National People's Congress on March 5, 2026, setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% and outlining priorities for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), including technological innovation, economic security, public well-being, energy production and decarbonisation. The report announced 20 growth targets across economy, technology, healthcare and more, plus 109 major projects in six areas—up from 102 previously—to support doubling 2020 per capita GDP by 2035.

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China's first batch of hard economic activity data for 2026 exceeded downbeat forecasts, reports Seeking Alpha. Analysts note more work is required to support domestic growth amid rising inflation risks.

China announced on Thursday a 7% increase in defense spending for 2026, the lowest rate in five years but still exceeding economic growth targets amid rising regional tensions. The move supports military modernization by 2035, with references to Taiwan. Premier Li Qiang highlighted improvements in combat readiness.

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China's state-run Economic Daily has published back-to-back front-page editorials rejecting claims that its economy is losing steam and causing a global 'China shock 2.0'. The outlet argues that rising protectionism, not China's strong exports, is the real global economic problem. It describes the 4.5 to 5 per cent growth target as a 'reasonable range'.

India's Economic Survey 2025-26, tabled in Parliament on January 30, 2026, projects robust GDP growth amid global uncertainties and recommends key reforms for strategic resilience. It emphasizes manufacturing revival, digital curbs and policy overhauls to bolster economic stability. Prime Minister Narendra Modi praised it as a roadmap for inclusive development.

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China's National People's Congress held a press conference on Wednesday, where spokesperson Lou Qinjian highlighted major advances in the domestically developed humanoid robot industry. He stated that 2025 marks a pivotal moment with breakthroughs in technological innovation and real-world applications. The event also explored how 'AI+' could open new frontiers for consumption.

 

 

 

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