China confirms 4.5-5% economic growth target for 2026 amid 'two sessions'

China has set its 2026 economic growth target at 4.5 to 5 percent, striving for better results, as announced in a government work report submitted to the National People's Congress on March 6, 2026—confirming earlier January reports of this range.

The Chinese government submitted its annual work report on Thursday, March 6, 2026, to the National People's Congress (NPC), officially setting the 2026 economic growth target at 4.5 to 5 percent while aiming to outperform it in practice. This comes during the key 'two sessions' meetings of the NPC and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference.

Confirming speculation from January based on briefed sources, the target reflects a flexible range emphasizing high-quality development, structural reforms, and resilience against domestic challenges like property sector issues and global uncertainties such as potential U.S. tariffs.

The announcement, a cornerstone of the year's economic policy, accompanies other major disclosures that week, including defense spending and AI development goals, underscoring balanced priorities in the new five-year plan era.

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Realistic illustration of China's 2026 Two Sessions press conference highlighting GDP growth targets and leaders including Premier Li Qiang and Xi Jinping.
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Economy press conference highlights from China's 2026 Two Sessions

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Following Premier Li Qiang's government work report setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5%, Zheng Shanjie of the National Development and Reform Commission projected over 6 trillion yuan GDP growth this year at the NPC economy press conference. The service sector is expected to exceed 100 trillion yuan during the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030). Leaders including Xi Jinping emphasized high-quality development amid the sessions.

China's government is likely to set a 2026 economic growth target in a range of 4.5% to 5%, according to three briefed sources. If confirmed, this would signal tolerance for some deceleration amid challenges, prioritizing economic rebalancing and stability.

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Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report to China's National People's Congress on March 5, 2026, setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% and outlining priorities for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), including technological innovation, economic security, public well-being, energy production and decarbonisation. The report announced 20 growth targets across economy, technology, healthcare and more, plus 109 major projects in six areas—up from 102 previously—to support doubling 2020 per capita GDP by 2035.

China's manufacturing powerhouse Guangdong has lowered its 2026 GDP growth target to 4.5%-5% after missing the previous year's goal. Governor Meng Fanli announced this during the opening of the Guangdong provincial people’s congress. The adjustment signals challenges from the property sector drag and global headwinds.

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Official data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows China's GDP grew 5 percent year-on-year in 2025, reaching 140.19 trillion yuan and surpassing the 140 trillion yuan threshold for the first time. Carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP fell 5 percent, while air quality continued to improve.

Hong Kong's finance chief has expressed optimism about the city's economic outlook for 2026, while forecasting 2025 growth to accelerate to 3.2%, surpassing earlier projections. He attributed this positive outlook mainly to anticipated growth in mainland China and Asia, along with interest rate cuts.

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The Indonesian government is optimistic that economic growth in the first quarter of 2026 will reach 5.5-6 percent, breaking the stagnant pattern around 5 percent. Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated this at the Indonesia Economic Outlook 2026 event in Jakarta.

 

 

 

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