InCred Equities identifies 11 stocks with potential upside of up to 40%

Amid a more than 2% drop in the Nifty this month due to Middle East tensions and foreign investor outflows, InCred Equities has selected 11 stocks expected to perform well in the coming quarters. The recommendations come as India faces higher crude oil prices, given its import of nearly 90% of its oil needs. All stocks receive an 'Add' rating with target prices implying various upside potentials.

The Indian stock market has experienced volatility, with the Nifty index declining over 2% this month. This downturn is linked to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and ongoing foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows. The situation is particularly challenging for India, which imports about 90% of its oil requirements, as crude oil prices have risen.

In response to this backdrop, InCred Equities has highlighted 11 stocks it views as strong performers for the upcoming quarters. Each recommendation carries an 'Add' rating, along with specific target prices and estimated upside percentages from current levels.

The list includes:
- HDFC Bank, with a target of Rs 1,180 per share, suggesting 34.2% upside.
- Tata Consultancy Services, targeted at Rs 3,663 per share, indicating 40.1% upside.
- Bajaj Finance, at Rs 1,200 per share, for 22.7% potential gain.
- Maruti Suzuki India, with a target of Rs 17,561 per share, implying 22.1% upside.
- Axis Bank, targeted at Rs 1,500 per share, for 9.3% upside.
- UltraTech Cement, at Rs 14,550 per share, suggesting 16.2% potential.
- Tata Steel, with a target of Rs 224 per share, indicating 6.2% upside.
- Tata Motors' commercial vehicles business, at Rs 521 per share, for 4.6% upside.
- CG Power and Industrial Solutions, targeted at Rs 900 per share, implying 26.4% gain.
- Lupin, at Rs 2,675 per share, for 15.7% upside.
- GE Vernova T&D, with a target of Rs 5,000 per share, suggesting 32.5% potential.

These picks aim to offer opportunities despite market pressures, though the firm notes that views expressed are its own and not those of the publication.

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Indian markets lose Rs 20 lakh crore on crude oil surge

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Crude oil prices surpassing $100 have erased Rs 20 lakh crore from Indian equity markets this week, amid escalating Iran conflict. The rupee hit a record low as foreign institutional investors continued selling, intensifying the downturn. Experts suggest the panic could present long-term buying opportunities.

Despite weakness in the broader market due to escalating Middle East tensions and hawkish US Federal Reserve signals, certain smallcap stocks in India posted strong gains of up to 41% over five sessions. Crude oil prices rose above $110 per barrel, raising inflation concerns. A selective rally highlighted top performers across various sectors.

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Vanguard Funds, a top foreign institutional investor in India, saw its equity holdings in 48 BSE-listed companies reach Rs 69,100 crore as of February 27, 2026. This marks a 60% increase from Rs 43,047 crore in the March quarter, driven by strong performances in several stocks during FY26. The portfolio includes new investments in eight companies from the December 2025 quarter.

Twelve equity mutual funds in India have achieved net asset values exceeding Rs 1,000, delivering up to 24% compound annual growth rates since their inception. Eleven of these funds have operated for more than 25 years, providing consistent double-digit returns amid market ups and downs. This performance underscores the value of long-term investment strategies for patient investors.

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Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty closed nearly 6% higher for the week, snapping a six-week losing streak after a ceasefire between the US and Iran. Both indices rose 1.2% on Friday. Investors adopted a risk-on approach amid reduced volatility.

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Indian IT stocks experienced a brief rebound on Wednesday, halting a five-day losing streak. Analysts, however, caution that this uptick may not last, with persistent bearish sentiments in derivatives. The sector has been under pressure in February amid growing concerns over AI's impact on revenues.

 

 

 

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