Two days before the state election in Baden-Württemberg, polls indicate a neck-and-neck race between the Greens and the CDU. Both parties are at 28 percent, with 32 percent of respondents still undecided. The survey suggests possible shifts until election day.
The state election in Baden-Württemberg is set for Sunday, and a ZDF-Politbarometer survey from March 4 and 5 shows the CDU and Greens tied at 28 percent each. The Forschungsgruppe Wahlen polled 1,069 eligible voters by phone and online, with a margin of error of two to three percentage points.
Compared to the previous week, the Greens gained three percentage points, rising from 25 to 28 percent, while the CDU added one point. The AfD holds third place with 18 percent, followed by the SPD at eight percent. The FDP and Left Party are each at 5.5 percent, hoping to enter the state parliament above the five-percent threshold. The AfD and SPD each lost one point, and the FDP and Left each lost half a point.
With 32 percent of respondents undecided, shifts remain possible. For months, the CDU led the Greens, who currently govern in coalition with the CDU under Minister-President Winfried Kretschmann, who is not running again. The Greens-CDU coalition has been in power since 2016. A coalition excluding the AfD would currently only be feasible between the CDU and Greens.
On the preferred candidate for minister-president, 47 percent named Cem Özdemir (Greens), 24 percent Manuel Hagel (CDU), and eight percent Markus Frohnmaier (AfD).
