Illustration depicting South Korea's sharp industrial output decline in October due to chip sector, contrasted with retail sales rebound during Chuseok holiday.
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Industrial output falls 2.5% in October on chip base effect

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South Korea's industrial production fell 2.5 percent in October, the steepest monthly drop in over five years, due mainly to a base effect in semiconductor output. Retail sales rebounded 3.5 percent, boosted by the extended Chuseok holiday. Facility investment declined 14.1 percent.

According to data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics, industrial production declined 2.5 percent from the previous month in October. This marks the steepest monthly fall since a 2.9 percent drop in February 2020. Output in the mining and manufacturing sector, a key economic pillar, fell 4 percent.

Semiconductor production plunged 26.5 percent, the sharpest on-month drop since October 1982 when it fell 33.3 percent. The ministry attributed the decline mainly to a strong base effect, as chip output had surged around 20 percent in September, despite rising global demand driven by the artificial intelligence boom.

"Amid booming semiconductor production, the base effect appears to have played an exceptionally large role," said Lee Doo-won, a ministry official.

Retail sales, an indicator of private consumption, rose 3.5 percent on-month, rebounding after two consecutive declines and marking the highest increase since February 2023. The growth stemmed largely from a base effect and the extended Chuseok holiday in early October. Sales of semidurable goods like apparel climbed 5.1 percent, nondurable goods including cosmetics jumped 7 percent, while durable goods such as home appliances dropped 4.9 percent.

Facility investment decreased 14.1 percent, reversing the previous month's rebound, with machinery down 12.2 percent and transportation equipment falling 18.4 percent. These figures highlight ongoing volatility in South Korea's manufacturing and consumption sectors.

Mitä ihmiset sanovat

Reactions on X to South Korea's October industrial output falling 2.5% due to semiconductor base effects are mixed; news outlets highlight the sharpest drop in over five years alongside retail sales rebound and facility investment decline, analysts note it as the worst since the pandemic, some emphasize consumption resilience, while others criticize broader economic weakness and hazy recovery.

Liittyvät artikkelit

Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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Industrial output rises 0.9% in November; retail sales post sharpest fall in 21 months

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South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

South Korea's industrial output grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2025, despite robust performance in the semiconductor sector. Retail sales and facility investment showed signs of improvement, according to government data.

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South Korea's exports fell 2.3 percent year-on-year in the first 10 days of January, despite robust semiconductor shipments. According to Korea Customs Service data, outbound shipments totaled $15.55 billion for the period. Weaker performance in automobiles, vessels, and steel products offset the gains.

Amid ongoing global trade uncertainties, South Korea plans to counter economic challenges in 2026 by capitalizing on the artificial intelligence boom and its semiconductor sector. Experts highlight robust exports and a U.S. tariff deal as growth drivers, while pointing to Chinese competition and weak domestic demand as key risks.

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South Korea added 193,000 jobs in October, bringing the total employed to 29.04 million, but youth employment declined sharply. Manufacturing and construction sectors continued to lose positions, while hiring among older adults drove the overall gains. Officials noted ongoing challenges for young job seekers.

South Korea's exports expanded 14.9 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of January, reaching $36.36 billion, fueled by strong semiconductor demand. Imports grew 4.2 percent to $36.98 billion, resulting in a $600 million trade deficit. Data from the Korea Customs Service underscores ongoing growth in key sectors.

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South Korean stocks climbed almost 1.5 percent on Wednesday, as investors hunted bargains in semiconductors. The Korean won dropped to an eight-month low against the U.S. dollar. The KOSPI recovered to the 4,000 level after sliding to a nine-day low in the previous session.

 

 

 

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