Illustration depicting South Korea's sharp industrial output decline in October due to chip sector, contrasted with retail sales rebound during Chuseok holiday.
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Industrial output falls 2.5% in October on chip base effect

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South Korea's industrial production fell 2.5 percent in October, the steepest monthly drop in over five years, due mainly to a base effect in semiconductor output. Retail sales rebounded 3.5 percent, boosted by the extended Chuseok holiday. Facility investment declined 14.1 percent.

According to data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics, industrial production declined 2.5 percent from the previous month in October. This marks the steepest monthly fall since a 2.9 percent drop in February 2020. Output in the mining and manufacturing sector, a key economic pillar, fell 4 percent.

Semiconductor production plunged 26.5 percent, the sharpest on-month drop since October 1982 when it fell 33.3 percent. The ministry attributed the decline mainly to a strong base effect, as chip output had surged around 20 percent in September, despite rising global demand driven by the artificial intelligence boom.

"Amid booming semiconductor production, the base effect appears to have played an exceptionally large role," said Lee Doo-won, a ministry official.

Retail sales, an indicator of private consumption, rose 3.5 percent on-month, rebounding after two consecutive declines and marking the highest increase since February 2023. The growth stemmed largely from a base effect and the extended Chuseok holiday in early October. Sales of semidurable goods like apparel climbed 5.1 percent, nondurable goods including cosmetics jumped 7 percent, while durable goods such as home appliances dropped 4.9 percent.

Facility investment decreased 14.1 percent, reversing the previous month's rebound, with machinery down 12.2 percent and transportation equipment falling 18.4 percent. These figures highlight ongoing volatility in South Korea's manufacturing and consumption sectors.

人们在说什么

Reactions on X to South Korea's October industrial output falling 2.5% due to semiconductor base effects are mixed; news outlets highlight the sharpest drop in over five years alongside retail sales rebound and facility investment decline, analysts note it as the worst since the pandemic, some emphasize consumption resilience, while others criticize broader economic weakness and hazy recovery.

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Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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尽管半导体部门表现强劲,韩国2025年工业产出增长速度为五年来最慢。政府数据显示,零售销售和设施投资出现改善迹象。

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韩国1月前10天出口同比下降2.3%,尽管半导体出货强劲。根据韩国海关数据,该时期出境发货总额达155.5亿美元。汽车、船舶和钢铁产品的疲软表现抵消了涨幅。

韩国企业2024年盈利同比上涨20%,受半导体出口增加推动。政府数据显示,税前净利润合计达181.9万亿韩元,制造业引领反弹。当年标志着人工智能过渡阶段,推动芯片需求。

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在全球贸易不确定性持续存在的情况下,韩国计划通过抓住人工智能繁荣和半导体产业来应对2026年的经济挑战。专家强调强劲出口和美关税协议是增长驱动力,同时指出中国竞争和国内需求疲软是主要风险。

Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that manufacturing production rose 1.9% in October 2025 compared to October 2024. Manufacturing sales grew 2.4%, and employed personnel increased 0.7%. Bruce Mac Master, president of Andi, highlighted sectoral heterogeneity and the importance of the year's final months.

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South Korea's exports expanded 14.9 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of January, reaching $36.36 billion, fueled by strong semiconductor demand. Imports grew 4.2 percent to $36.98 billion, resulting in a $600 million trade deficit. Data from the Korea Customs Service underscores ongoing growth in key sectors.

 

 

 

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