Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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11月工业产出增长0.9%;零售销售录得21个月最大降幅

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韩国11月工业产出增长0.9%,受半导体生产强劲推动,而零售销售下降3.3%,为21个月来最大降幅。数据与统计部的数据将零售下降归因于秋夕假期效应消退和基数效应。1月至11月累计零售销售增长0.4%,表明年度数据可能转为正增长。

据数据与统计部周二公布的数据,韩国11月工业生产环比增长0.9%。增长主要受半导体产量激增7.5%的推动,得益于人工智能热潮中全球需求的上升。采矿和制造业部门——经济支柱——增长0.6%。

相比之下,零售销售——私人消费的关键指标——暴跌3.3%,创下2024年2月以来最大降幅,当时跌幅为3.1%。降幅源于食品和服装销售疲软,因10月初延长秋夕假期效应消退。可消费半耐用品如服装下降3.6%,非耐用品包括食品下跌4.3%——自2024年2月以来最大——耐用品如家用电器下滑0.6%。

“10月因秋夕假期、短暂寒潮和各种折扣活动而增加后,也存在基数效应”,该部李斗元表示。

设施投资增长1.5%,受机械支出增加推动,尽管包括汽车在内的运输设备投资减少。最近工业产出波动较大:8月下跌0.3%,9月上涨1.3%,10月下降2.7%。

尽管月度下滑,但1月至11月累计零售销售增长0.4%,引发对2025年年度正增长的希望,结束三年下降。该部预计半导体出口强劲和消费者信心稳固将持续提供支撑。

人们在说什么

X平台讨论主要来自新闻媒体和分析师,指出韩国11月工业产出增长0.9%,受半导体推动,而零售销售下降3.3%,为21个月最大降幅,因秋夕效应消退。情绪显示经济分化:对生产反弹和投资持积极态度,对消费疲软持负面看法。

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Illustration depicting South Korea's sharp industrial output decline in October due to chip sector, contrasted with retail sales rebound during Chuseok holiday.
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Industrial output falls 2.5% in October on chip base effect

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South Korea's industrial production fell 2.5 percent in October, the steepest monthly drop in over five years, due mainly to a base effect in semiconductor output. Retail sales rebounded 3.5 percent, boosted by the extended Chuseok holiday. Facility investment declined 14.1 percent.

尽管半导体部门表现强劲,韩国2025年工业产出增长速度为五年来最慢。政府数据显示,零售销售和设施投资出现改善迹象。

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South Korea's exports rose 8.2 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of November, fueled by strong demand for semiconductors and automobiles. Outbound shipments reached $38.5 billion, up from $35.6 billion a year earlier, according to Korea Customs Service data. Imports grew 3.7 percent to $36.1 billion, yielding a $2.4 billion trade surplus.

中国11月零售销售仅增长1.3%,未达预期,且连续第六个月放缓。1至11月投资下降2.6%,房地产低迷持续。官员承认面临挑战,并呼吁采取更积极的政策。

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韩国1月份消费者价格同比上涨2%,创五个月来最低增速。这一放缓部分归因于石油产品价格稳定,因为国际原油价格下跌,据政府数据。然而,一些农业和畜牧产品价格继续大幅上涨。

Argentina's industrial production dropped 6.1% in November compared to the same month in 2024, according to preliminary data from the Latin American Economic Research Foundation (FIEL), marking the fifth consecutive decline since July. While it posted a slight monthly increase of 0.4%, the sector has accumulated a 0.5% contraction over the first eleven months of the year. This outcome occurs amid an industrial recession that began in February, worsened by a shorter working month.

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South Korea added 193,000 jobs in October, bringing the total employed to 29.04 million, but youth employment declined sharply. Manufacturing and construction sectors continued to lose positions, while hiring among older adults drove the overall gains. Officials noted ongoing challenges for young job seekers.

 

 

 

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