Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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Industrial output rises 0.9% in November; retail sales post sharpest fall in 21 months

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South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

South Korea's industrial production rose 0.9 percent on-month in November, according to data released Tuesday by the Ministry of Data and Statistics. The growth was propelled by a 7.5 percent surge in semiconductor output, fueled by rising global demand amid the artificial intelligence boom. The mining and manufacturing sector, a cornerstone of the economy, increased 0.6 percent.

In contrast, retail sales—a key indicator of private consumption—plummeted 3.3 percent, marking the steepest decline since February 2024, when it fell 3.1 percent. The drop was driven by weaker sales in food and apparel, as the effects of the extended Chuseok holiday in early October faded. Semidurable goods like clothing declined 3.6 percent, non-durable goods including food fell 4.3 percent—the sharpest since February 2024—and durable goods such as home appliances slipped 0.6 percent.

"There is also a base effect following the increase in October due to the Chuseok holiday, a brief cold spell and various discount campaigns," said Lee Doo-won from the ministry.

Facility investment grew 1.5 percent, led by higher spending on machinery, though investment in transportation equipment including automobiles decreased. Industrial output has been volatile recently: it fell 0.3 percent in August, rose 1.3 percent in September, and dropped 2.7 percent in October.

Despite the monthly dip, cumulative retail sales from January to November rose 0.4 percent, raising hopes for a positive annual figure in 2025 and ending three years of declines. The ministry anticipates continued support from robust semiconductor exports and solid consumer sentiment.

Что говорят люди

Discussions on X, mainly from news outlets and analysts, note South Korea's industrial output rose 0.9% in November driven by semiconductors, while retail sales fell 3.3%, the sharpest drop in 21 months due to fading Chuseok effects. Sentiments highlight an economic divide: positive on production rebound and investment, negative on consumption weakness.

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Illustration depicting South Korea's sharp industrial output decline in October due to chip sector, contrasted with retail sales rebound during Chuseok holiday.
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Industrial output falls 2.5% in October on chip base effect

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South Korea's industrial production fell 2.5 percent in October, the steepest monthly drop in over five years, due mainly to a base effect in semiconductor output. Retail sales rebounded 3.5 percent, boosted by the extended Chuseok holiday. Facility investment declined 14.1 percent.

South Korea's industrial output grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2025, despite robust performance in the semiconductor sector. Retail sales and facility investment showed signs of improvement, according to government data.

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South Korea's exports rose 8.2 percent year-on-year in the first 20 days of November, fueled by strong demand for semiconductors and automobiles. Outbound shipments reached $38.5 billion, up from $35.6 billion a year earlier, according to Korea Customs Service data. Imports grew 3.7 percent to $36.1 billion, yielding a $2.4 billion trade surplus.

China's retail sales grew by just 1.3 percent in November, missing forecasts and slowing for the sixth straight month. Investment from January to November fell 2.6 percent as the property slump persisted. Officials recognize ongoing challenges and urge more proactive macroeconomic policies.

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

South Korea added 193,000 jobs in October, bringing the total employed to 29.04 million, but youth employment declined sharply. Manufacturing and construction sectors continued to lose positions, while hiring among older adults drove the overall gains. Officials noted ongoing challenges for young job seekers.

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Amid ongoing global trade uncertainties, South Korea plans to counter economic challenges in 2026 by capitalizing on the artificial intelligence boom and its semiconductor sector. Experts highlight robust exports and a U.S. tariff deal as growth drivers, while pointing to Chinese competition and weak domestic demand as key risks.

 

 

 

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