Mexico-US follow-up deal sets Rio Grande annual water minimum amid 1944 Treaty talks

Building on December's initial accord, Mexico and the US agreed to a minimum annual Rio Grande water supply of 350,000 acre-feet, addressing drought deficits and past shortfalls under the 1944 Water Treaty. The deal follows a call between Presidents Sheinbaum and Trump, with plans for debt repayment and monthly oversight to support border communities.

Following the December 2025 agreement for an immediate water release that averted a US tariff threat, Mexico and the United States announced a new accord on Rio Grande deliveries. Mexico commits to at least 350,000 acre-feet (431.7 million cubic meters) annually during the current five-year cycle of the 1944 Water Treaty, stabilizing agriculture in the US Lower Rio Grande Valley.

The deal stems from a recent phone call between Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and US President Donald Trump, focusing on long-term water management. Mexico will also provide a detailed plan to resolve the previous cycle's deficit exceeding 986.4 million cubic meters. Both sides agreed to monthly meetings for compliance.

US Ambassador Ronald Johnson praised the agreement as proof of effective bilateral cooperation. Under the treaty, Mexico supplies 2,185 million cubic meters from the Rio Grande over five years, in exchange for US deliveries from the Colorado River.

This builds on heightened tensions, including Trump's December tariff warning, amid northern Mexico's drought. The accord promotes sustainable solutions for shared border resources.

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US and Mexican diplomats shaking hands over 1944 Water Treaty map by the flowing Rio Grande, symbolizing resolved water delivery dispute.
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Mexico and US agree on water delivery under 1944 treaty

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Mexico and the United States reached an agreement on December 13, 2025, for the delivery of 249.163 million cubic meters of Rio Grande water, starting next week, following tensions over the 1944 Water Treaty. The deal averts a 5% tariff threat from Donald Trump and addresses the previous water deficit. Mexico maintains it complies with the treaty despite drought in the northern border region.

Following the December 13 agreement with the US to deliver 249 million cubic meters of Rio Grande water, Mexico still owes over 50%—1,170 million cubic meters—of its 2020-2025 obligations under the 1944 Water Treaty, says Water Advisory Council president Raúl Rodríguez. The deal averts Trump's tariff threats, with more payments planned.

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The Chamber of Deputies approved the reform to the National Waters Law in general with 328 votes in favor, despite protests from farmers who blocked highways and demanded dialogue. The initiative, pushed by President Claudia Sheinbaum, prioritizes the human right to water and bans its hoarding, with penalties of up to eight years in prison for water crimes. The Senate is set to vote on it this Thursday.

Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) reported a fifth consecutive year of rising gasoline production in 2025, reaching 511,000 barrels per day, during the presentation of its 2026 plan. The company also disclosed that its debt hit the lowest level in 11 years and clarified details on crude oil sales to Cuba. These developments are part of the Mexican government's energy sovereignty strategy.

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Over 11 million people in Mexico lack constant access to potable water in their homes, according to Coneval. An environmental management specialist calls for linking housing policies with water planning to ensure basic services in new developments. In Morelia, integral initiatives are advancing dignified housing.

President Claudia Sheinbaum proposed that the United States send oil to Cuba to prevent a humanitarian crisis due to energy shortages on the island. She expressed concern over potential tariffs from the Trump administration on countries supplying crude to Cuba. She instructed the Foreign Relations Secretariat to clarify the scope of those measures.

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Alejandro Murat, president of the Senate's Foreign Relations Commission, dismissed concerns that T-MEC negotiations between Mexico, the United States, and Canada will fail. He stated that leaders from the three nations are in daily contact to bolster the treaty. Meanwhile, business leaders are reviewing strategies for the trade agreement's update.

 

 

 

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