US consumer sentiment hits record low in April

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 47.6 in April, its lowest level on record, after falling 5.7 points from the previous month. The plunge, nearly 11 percent, was largely attributed to the outbreak of the Iran conflict, which fueled inflation fears. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose sharply to 4.8 percent from 3.8 percent in March.

The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 47.6 in April, marking a 5.7-point decline and the lowest reading ever recorded. This represented a nearly 11 percent drop month-over-month and missed economists' forecast of 51.6. Officials pointed to the recent outbreak of the Iran conflict as the primary driver, heightening concerns over rising prices among households across the United States. Year-ahead inflation expectations surged to 4.8 percent, up from 3.8 percent in March—the biggest one-month jump since April 2025. This marked a significant shift in consumer outlook, reflecting broader economic anxieties amid geopolitical tensions. The data, as reported by Seeking Alpha, underscores vulnerabilities in public confidence at a time of global instability. No immediate policy responses have been announced by Federal Reserve officials.

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Illustration of rising US inflation with gas prices and economic graphs.
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US inflation accelerates to 4.2% in May as energy prices jump

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U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday, matching economists’ expectations and marking the highest 12-month reading since April 2023.

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 54.4 in July. The gain reflects easing gas prices and lower inflation expectations.

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A weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors showed bullish sentiment among respondents dropping sharply to 30.4 percent. The figure marks the lowest level recorded so far in 2026.

India's retail inflation for April rose to a 13-month high of 3.48 percent, while wholesale inflation more than doubled to 8.3 percent. The increases are driven mainly by higher fuel and food costs amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

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China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell slightly to 50.3 in April from 50.4 the previous month, though it exceeded expectations. New export orders and imports expanded for the first time since early 2024, but softer domestic activity pushed the non-manufacturing PMI into contraction. Price pressures remained in expansionary territory, indicating ongoing reflation.

America's employers added 115,000 jobs in April, beating expectations even as the Iran conflict disrupted oil supplies and raised gas prices. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent.

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Oil prices are falling on hopes for an end to the war with Iran while the US stock market holds near its records. Brent crude dropped 3.2 percent to $97.98 per barrel.

 

 

 

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