Bitcoin risks dropping to $58,000 amid Fed policy and trade tensions

Analysts are warning that Bitcoin could slide to $58,000 due to macroeconomic pressures rather than technical charts. Restrictive Federal Reserve policies, tight liquidity, and stalled rate cuts are key factors. Global trade tensions and potential tariffs are also squeezing cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin faces significant downside risk, with analysts pointing to broader economic headwinds over traditional price charts. According to recent market analysis, the cryptocurrency could decline to $58,000 as the Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive stance on monetary policy. This approach is keeping liquidity tight and delaying anticipated interest rate cuts, which have been crucial for risk assets like Bitcoin.

Global trade tensions add further pressure, potentially exacerbated by tariffs that could disrupt economic stability. These macro risks are dominating investor sentiment, overshadowing short-term technical indicators. The warning highlights how external factors, such as central bank decisions and geopolitical frictions, are weighing heavily on crypto valuations.

While Bitcoin has shown resilience in past cycles, current conditions suggest vulnerability to these broader influences. Market participants are advised to monitor Fed announcements and trade developments closely for signs of escalation or relief.

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Dramatic scene of Bitcoin's bear market crash on trading floor screens amid US-China trade war fears, with plummeting charts and panicked investors.
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Bitcoin crashes amid trade war renewal and market fears

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Bitcoin has entered a bear market, dropping over 30% from its early October peak of around $126,000, following a flash crash triggered by President Trump's renewed trade war with China. The cryptocurrency wiped out $1 trillion in value over six weeks, with a single-day loss of $19 billion on October 10 due to panic selling and liquidations. While recovering slightly to about $88,000 on Monday, concerns over Federal Reserve rate decisions and leveraged positions continue to unsettle investors.

Despite cooling U.S. inflation and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, Bitcoin's price has remained stuck in a narrow range around the $80,000s. Traders are focusing more on real yields, liquidity conditions, and ETF flows rather than headline economic data. This shift highlights how structural factors are now dominating the cryptocurrency's price action.

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Following yesterday's wild swings after the Federal Reserve's rate cut, Bitcoin fell below $90,000 for the first time in two days amid demand concerns for risky assets. Stocks rallied in contrast on Thursday.

Bitcoin's price fell from a peak above $126,000 to below $104,000 in just 10 days during October 2025, erasing gains from an earlier rally. The drop, which wiped out $600 billion from the crypto market, was triggered by renewed U.S.-China trade threats from President Trump, alongside banking concerns, ETF outflows, and geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts warn of potential further declines into 2026.

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Cryptocurrency markets are treading water near flat levels as investors await key US jobs data and a potential Supreme Court decision on tariffs imposed by President Trump. Bitcoin hovers around $90,000 amid ongoing outflows from spot ETFs, while analysts detect early signs of stabilization. The focus remains on how these developments could influence Federal Reserve policy and global risk appetite.

Bitcoin prices swung wildly on December 10, 2025, spiking above $94,000 before retreating to around $92,000 following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis-point rate cut. Chair Jerome Powell highlighted risks in the labor market while cautioning on inflation, contributing to market uncertainty. The broader crypto market added $150 billion in value amid institutional adoption news and short liquidations.

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Bitcoin dropped over 6% on Thursday to around $84,000, dragging down other major cryptocurrencies amid fears over heavy AI spending by tech giants. The sell-off coincided with declines in tech stocks following Microsoft's earnings report, while the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady. Liquidations of leveraged positions exceeded $650 million, mostly from bullish bets.

 

 

 

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