Illustration depicting Argentina's Central Bank president announcing the 2026 reserve accumulation plan, with rising reserve graphs and IMF approval.
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Central bank announces reserve accumulation plan for 2026

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Argentina's Central Bank announced on Monday, December 15, 2025, the first measures of its 2026 economic plan, including updating exchange rate bands according to inflation and a consistent program to accumulate international reserves. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) welcomed these decisions, aligned with its prior recommendations. Meanwhile, the National Treasury purchased 320 million dollars following the announcements.

On December 15, 2025, the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina (BCRA) unveiled initial details of its 2026 economic strategy. Starting January 1, 2026, the floor and ceiling of the exchange rate bands will be updated according to the Consumer Price Index (IPC) reported by INDEC. Additionally, a consistent program to accumulate international reserves will begin, aligned with the evolution of money demand and foreign exchange market liquidity.

The BCRA specified that the monetary base will rise from the current 4.2% of GDP to 4.8% by December 2026, enabling purchases of around 10 billion dollars, subject to balance of payments flows. With a 1% GDP increase in money demand, this figure could reach 17 billion dollars without sustained sterilization. Daily program execution will align with 5% of the foreign exchange market volume, allowing block purchases to avoid disruptions.

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack praised the measures on her X account: "We welcome the recent market access and the announced measures to strengthen the monetary and exchange framework, reconstitute reserve buffers, and promote reforms to boost growth." She added: "We are working closely with the authorities on the implementation of these important measures." Kozack had previously emphasized the need for an ambitious reserve accumulation path to address shocks and facilitate re-entry into international markets.

Hours after the announcements, in a press conference, National Treasury official Santiago Bausili reported the purchase of 320 million dollars, days before a key debt maturity. In the market, the Country Risk, measured by JP Morgan's EMBI Global, closed at 623 basis points, a slight 0.16% decline from 624 the previous day, remaining in the moderate risk zone between 620 and 630 points during the week.

These developments reflect efforts to stabilize Argentina's economy amid volatility, with analysts noting market caution regarding potential impacts on the dollar, inflation, and sovereign financing.

Ano ang sinasabi ng mga tao

Discussions on X highlight the BCRA's announcement of inflation-adjusted exchange rate bands and a reserve accumulation plan targeting up to $17B USD in 2026, praised by economists and traders for enhancing predictability, remonetization, and aligning with IMF recommendations. High-engagement posts from analysts note positive market reactions like falling risk country and rising bonds, while some opposition figures express skepticism over policy shifts and ongoing high country risk.

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Photorealistic depiction of Argentina's Central Bank with exchange rate bands display and building reserves, economists discussing outside amid market buzz.
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Argentina's Exchange Rate Bands Scheme Takes Effect as Reserves Build

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Following the Central Bank's December 2025 announcement of its 2026 economic plan, the new exchange rate flotation scheme—adjusting dollar bands by past inflation—took effect on January 2, 2026. The BCRA aims to accumulate reserves amid market anticipation of quote shifts, while economist Martín Redrado warns the system is transitory without clearer policy definitions.

Argentina's central bank gross international reserves reached USD 43.610 million on Friday, the highest since President Javier Milei's term began, building on the 2026 accumulation plan announced earlier this month. Driven by gold revaluation and Treasury purchases, this strengthens the position ahead of a USD 4,200 million debt maturity on January 9.

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Argentina's Central Bank bought US$55 million on January 12, its sixth consecutive daily purchase since January 5 under the 2026 accumulation plan announced in December, bringing the total to US$273 million. Gross reserves climbed to a new Milei-era high of US$44.768 million amid stable exchange rates.

The Board of Directors of the Banco de la República voted by majority to keep the policy interest rate at 9.25% in its final meeting of the year, amid ongoing inflationary pressures above 5%. Two members, including Finance Minister Germán Ávila, favored a 50 basis point cut. Inflation eased slightly to 5.3% in November, but future expectations rose.

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Chile's Central Bank released its December Monetary Policy Report, raising the GDP growth projection for 2026 to 2% to 3%, driven by higher investment and copper prices. Inflation will converge to 3% in the first quarter of 2026, in a more favorable scenario than anticipated. Experts agree on the optimism but highlight risks in the labor market and abroad.

On Tuesday, December 16, 2025, exchange rates for the official dollar, blue, MEP, CCL, crypto, and euro variants were updated in Argentina. Banks continue offering currencies without limits since April 2025, while the card dollar retains a 30% surcharge for overseas expenses.

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Economist Alejandro Barros explained that stabilizing the exchange rate and increasing the peso's role in Argentina's economy will further reduce country risk. Barros stated that eliminating distortive exchange rates is key to this trend. The government celebrates the current drop but prioritizes reserve accumulation before returning to debt markets.

 

 

 

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