Trump factor: China may benefit as investors diversify from US dollar assets

Prominent investor Wong Kok Hoi stated that US President Donald Trump's push for a weaker dollar, combined with volatility in gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies, is prompting a reassessment of traditional safe havens, positioning China as a potential winner.

On Tuesday, at the launch of a new China financial markets research centre co-founded by APS Asset Management and the China Europe International Business School (CEIBS), Wong Kok Hoi, founder of APS Asset Management, told reporters: “I think China will be a beneficiary of the speculative bubble in precious metals and crypto, the dollar’s weakness, and also maybe the Trump factor.”

Global volatility is forcing a rethink of traditional safe havens, creating opportunities for Beijing, the prominent investor said. Foreign institutions such as BlackRock China and Fidelity International have recently argued that, over the next three to five years, global portfolios are likely to steadily reduce their reliance on dollar-denominated assets. They expect a gradual shift towards greater diversification, with particular emphasis on China’s market recovery and structural strengths, such as comprehensive supply chains and strong innovation capacity.

“Many of those global investors want to diversify away from dollar assets,” Wong said, adding that a growing share of capital is likely to rotate into yuan assets.

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At the World Economic Forum in Davos, US President Donald Trump pledged to sign sweeping cryptocurrency market structure legislation very soon, aiming to keep America as the crypto capital of the world. He framed the push as essential to outpace China in financial innovation. The remarks come amid bitcoin's surge above $90,000 and strong political support from the crypto industry.

Conflict in the Middle East and global turbulence following US-Israeli strikes against Iran have prompted foreign investors to seek certainty in China. Speakers at the China Development Forum highlighted this trend.

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Nicholas Peach, a BlackRock executive, stated that a 1% shift in Asian portfolio allocations to crypto could bring nearly $2 trillion into the market. Speaking at Consensus Hong Kong, he highlighted the region's $108 trillion in household wealth. This comes amid growing institutional interest in crypto ETFs across Asia.

Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

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InvestHK director general Lau Hai-suen says Hong Kong should leverage its “safe haven for investment” status to attract foreign capital amid Middle East conflict, with firms using Dubai as a hub shifting to the city to diversify risk. The call comes as finance chief Paul Chan Mo-po continues a visit to Beijing.

President Donald Trump's first year in office has brought regulatory relief to the cryptocurrency sector, yet major digital assets have declined in value. Despite appointments and new laws favoring crypto, broader economic factors like tariffs have driven down prices. The Trump family, however, has profited substantially from related ventures.

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