Trump factor: China may benefit as investors diversify from US dollar assets

Prominent investor Wong Kok Hoi stated that US President Donald Trump's push for a weaker dollar, combined with volatility in gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies, is prompting a reassessment of traditional safe havens, positioning China as a potential winner.

On Tuesday, at the launch of a new China financial markets research centre co-founded by APS Asset Management and the China Europe International Business School (CEIBS), Wong Kok Hoi, founder of APS Asset Management, told reporters: “I think China will be a beneficiary of the speculative bubble in precious metals and crypto, the dollar’s weakness, and also maybe the Trump factor.”

Global volatility is forcing a rethink of traditional safe havens, creating opportunities for Beijing, the prominent investor said. Foreign institutions such as BlackRock China and Fidelity International have recently argued that, over the next three to five years, global portfolios are likely to steadily reduce their reliance on dollar-denominated assets. They expect a gradual shift towards greater diversification, with particular emphasis on China’s market recovery and structural strengths, such as comprehensive supply chains and strong innovation capacity.

“Many of those global investors want to diversify away from dollar assets,” Wong said, adding that a growing share of capital is likely to rotate into yuan assets.

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Illustration of Asian stock traders reacting to falling markets amid US-Iran tensions and rising oil prices.
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Asia shares slip amid escalating US-Iran tensions

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Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

Conflict in the Middle East and global turbulence following US-Israeli strikes against Iran have prompted foreign investors to seek certainty in China. Speakers at the China Development Forum highlighted this trend.

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Nicholas Peach, a BlackRock executive, stated that a 1% shift in Asian portfolio allocations to crypto could bring nearly $2 trillion into the market. Speaking at Consensus Hong Kong, he highlighted the region's $108 trillion in household wealth. This comes amid growing institutional interest in crypto ETFs across Asia.

Foreign investors injected R$ 12.35 billion into the B3 until January 21, 2026, nearly half of 2025's total, driven by geopolitical disorder from Donald Trump. This weakened the dollar to R$ 5.287 and pushed the Ibovespa to a record 178,858 points. Analysts attribute the shift to global asset diversification amid US tariffs and tensions.

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At the World Economic Forum in Davos, world leaders took veiled swipes at the United States, while China framed itself as a defender of the post-war system, analysts say. Western countries are recalibrating their approach to Beijing amid uncertainties from Donald Trump's influence.

US crypto advocates cite competition with China's interest-bearing e-CNY to push for stablecoin yield clarity, but banks' opposition stalls the Clarity Act. Experts say the two largest economies are pursuing very different digital money strategies.

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Asian stock markets opened in the red on Wednesday due to the US-Iran conflict, with South Korea experiencing a historic plunge in its Kospi index. Positive US employment data boosted gains in Wall Street and the Mexican Stock Exchange. President Claudia Sheinbaum assured that Mexico is working to prevent fuel price increases.

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