Over 21% of gas consumed in January was imported

In January 2026, imported gas accounted for 21% of total consumption in Colombia, according to Upme data. This figure highlights the rising trend in imports due to declining local reserves, as warned by Naturgas, which forecasts 26% by year's end.

Colombia's energy sector is seeing a rise in natural gas imports, driven by a 64% drop in proven reserves over the past 13 years, according to Sergio Cabrales, a professor at Universidad de los Andes. Domestic supply has declined from over 1,000 gigas BTU per day in previous years to 667 Gbtud in 2026, increasing reliance on foreign supplies.

In January 2026, imported gas met 21% of total consumption, up three percentage points from 18% in January 2025. Cabrales notes that this pushes up supply costs, affecting user tariffs and posing risks to energy security.

On the demand side, industrial users have shifted to alternative energy sources due to price and availability issues, curbing gas consumption. Thermoelectric demand is also at lows, thanks to high hydroelectric reservoir levels averaging 77.97% as of February 15. Seven reservoirs exceed 90%, including Urrá, Ituango, and Calima, which are near 99%, aided by unusual rainfall from a cold front.

Naturgas had previously warned that imports could reach 26% of consumption by the end of 2026, given the local supply shortage.

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Dramatic illustration of power lines blocked at Colombia-Ecuador border due to export suspension over tariffs.
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Colombia suspends electricity exports to Ecuador over tariffs

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Colombia's Ministry of Mines and Energy published Resolution 40064 on January 22, 2026, suspending international electricity transactions with Ecuador in response to President Daniel Noboa's 30% tariffs. The measure takes effect from 6 PM that day and prioritizes national supply. Ecuador claims it has sufficient capacity to meet its energy demand without imports.

Colombia's thermal power plants are gearing up to boost liquefied natural gas imports ahead of El Niño's expected arrival in August, which could deplete hydroelectric reservoirs. Alejandro Castañeda, director of Andeg, said the Spec terminal will run at full capacity to support the grid. The move aims to prevent blackouts during the dry season.

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Colombia's oil production dropped 3% in January 2026 year-on-year to 746,400 barrels per day from 769,800 the previous year, according to Campetrol. Compared to December, it fell 0.1%, or 7,000 barrels, with the sharpest declines in Casanare.

The Dos Bocas refinery and the rehabilitation of the National Refining System boosted Pemex's production in 2025, covering 52.9% of the gasolinas commercialized and reducing imports to their lowest level in 16 years. For diesel, coverage reached 92% of domestic demand. This improvement marks the largest increase in four years for gasolinas and a decade for diesel.

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Building on Dane's initial report of 5.29% annual inflation for February 2026—below January's 5.35% and market expectations around 5.5%—Anif analysis credits a $500-per-gallon gasoline price reduction as the main factor. Without it, inflation would have accelerated to 5.38%. Services and food exerted upward pressure, offset by regulated price relief.

Colombia's coffee production dropped 34% in January 2026 compared to the same month the previous year, reaching just 893,000 60-kg sacks. The National Federation of Coffee Growers attributes this decline to climate shocks, exchange rate appreciation, and international price volatility. Nonetheless, exports over the last 12 months saw a slight increase.

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

 

 

 

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