Study finds major errors in Climate TRACE emissions database

A new study from Northern Arizona University has identified large discrepancies in the Climate TRACE global emissions database co-founded by Al Gore. Researchers determined that the database underestimates carbon dioxide emissions from vehicles in U.S. cities by an average of 70 percent.

The findings, published in Environmental Research Letters, compared Climate TRACE data against the Vulcan emissions database for 260 U.S. cities. Kevin Gurney, a professor at Northern Arizona University, led the research and noted that the gaps were even larger in some locations.

Individual cities such as Indianapolis and Nashville showed undercounts exceeding 90 percent. The study also referenced an earlier analysis that found similar problems with Climate TRACE estimates for power plants.

Gurney warned that the issues could extend globally and affect other parts of the database. He emphasized the need for greater transparency and rigorous scientific standards when using artificial intelligence to track emissions.

"We will never estimate emissions with perfect accuracy, but we must ensure that the data shared with policymakers and the public is unbiased and meets best practices and the most rigorous scientific standards available," Gurney said.

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U.S. map illustration highlighting uneven state warming: hotter highs in West, warmer lows in North, contrasting averages and extremes.
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Study finds most U.S. states are warming in uneven ways that averages can miss

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A study in PLOS Climate reports that U.S. warming trends vary sharply by state and by whether researchers look at temperature averages or extremes. Using data from 1950 to 2021 for the 48 contiguous states, the authors found that 27 states showed statistically significant increases in average temperature, while 41 showed warming in at least one part of their temperature range—such as hotter highs in parts of the West and warmer cold-season lows in parts of the North.

Permits for 11 natural gas-powered data centers across the United States project annual greenhouse gas emissions exceeding 129 million tons—more than Morocco released in 2024. Linked to AI companies OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, and xAI, these facilities underscore the fossil fuel reliance in the data center boom fueling AI expansion, according to a WIRED review of air permit documents.

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Emissions of carbon monoxide and volatile organic compounds have contributed significantly to planetary warming, according to new research. These indirect greenhouse gases account for about 15 percent of the temperature rise since pre-industrial times. Few nations currently address them in climate plans.

Greenhouse gas emissions from the Swedish economy fell by 1.8 percent in 2025 compared with the previous year, according to preliminary figures from SCB.

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