Illustration of a Brazilian electoral judge suspending a poll on Flávio Bolsonaro versus Lula.
Illustration of a Brazilian electoral judge suspending a poll on Flávio Bolsonaro versus Lula.
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TSE suspends Atlas poll on Flávio Bolsonaro

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The Superior Electoral Court suspended an Atlas/Bloomberg poll on Monday showing Flávio Bolsonaro six points behind Lula in a possible runoff. The ruling responds to a request filed by the senator on May 19.

The poll, released on May 19, surveyed 5,032 people between May 13 and 18 using the Atlas RDR method. The audio involving Flávio Bolsonaro and former banker Daniel Vorcaro was presented only at the end of the 48-question questionnaire. PT leaders called the suspension censorship. Deputy Pedro Uczai said Flávio Bolsonaro faces wear after the Dark Horse case and attacked the messenger. Lindbergh Farias said the senator shot himself in the foot by requesting the measure. Flávio Bolsonaro shared the news on social media with the text “TSE suspends poll that induced responses against Flávio Bolsonaro”, but issued no official statement. The PL maintained a discreet stance on the issue. PSD pre-candidate Ronaldo Caiado stated that Flávio must explain his link to Daniel Vorcaro to voters. Caiado said each candidate needs to account for incidents during the campaign.

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Initial reactions on X show polarized views: Bolsonarista users welcomed the TSE suspension of the Atlas poll citing biased questions on the Vorcaro scandal, while critics labeled it censorship by Minister Nunes Marques. Journalists and analysts noted the liminar decision and potential Streisand effect.

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Illustration of Lula leading Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll with 40% to 31%.
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Datafolha shows Lula at 40% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% in first round

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

Flávio Bolsonaro confirmed on Tuesday that he visited banker Daniel Vorcaro after his first arrest in 2025. The revelation impacted his presidential pre-campaign and drew reactions at a mayors' event in Brasília.

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Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) formed a majority on Tuesday, March 24, 2026, to condemn Rio de Janeiro's former governor Cláudio Castro (PL) for political and economic power abuse in the 2022 elections, barring him from office until 2030. The 4-1 vote jeopardizes his Senate pre-candidacy.

Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) is judging the format for replacing Rio de Janeiro's governor after Cláudio Castro's resignation, with votes split on direct vs. indirect elections. Following the TSE's March confirmation of indirect polls, justices Cristiano Zanin and Alexandre de Moraes proposed unifying with October's general election while keeping interim governor Ricardo Couto. Voting is paused at 1-1, resuming Thursday (April 9).

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro said on Friday that his interactions with banker Daniel Vorcaro were limited to financing the film Dark Horse. He denied that new revelations would emerge and called for accounts from the production.

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