China announces 7% defense spending increase for 2026

China announced on Thursday a 7% increase in defense spending for 2026, the lowest rate in five years but still exceeding economic growth targets amid rising regional tensions. The move supports military modernization by 2035, with references to Taiwan. Premier Li Qiang highlighted improvements in combat readiness.

Premier Li Qiang of China stated at the opening of the parliament's annual meeting that defense spending will increase by 7% in 2026. This marks the lowest growth rate in five years, following three years of 7.2% rises and down from 6.8% in 2021. The broader GDP growth forecast stands at 4.5% to 5%, with defense outpacing it.

In his work report, Li said, "All these steps will boost our strategic capacity to safeguard China's sovereignty, security and development interests," adding that President Xi Jinping holds ultimate command responsibility. China aims to improve combat readiness and accelerate the development of "advanced combat capabilities."

The announcement comes amid a high-profile purge of upper military ranks. Zhang Youxia, a veteran military ally of Xi, was placed under investigation in January, while He Weidong was expelled in October last year. This leaves just two members of the usual seven on the supreme Central Military Commission, with Xi as chair and a newly promoted vice chairman, Zhang Shengmin.

The government remains committed to the ruling Communist Party's "absolute leadership over the armed forces," Li added. Regarding Taiwan, Li vowed to "resolutely fight against separatist forces aimed at 'Taiwan independence' and oppose external interference," promoting peaceful cross-Strait relations and national reunification. Taiwan's government had no immediate reaction.

In Tokyo, Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara noted that China lacks sufficient transparency on its high defense spending and capabilities. Despite China's efforts to change the status quo in the East and South China Seas by force or coercion, Japan will continue building constructive, stable ties.

The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) stated that growth in Chinese military spending consistently outpaces the rest of Asia, reaching almost 44% of Asia's total in 2025. China provides no breakdown of its 1.91 trillion yuan ($277 billion) budget, about a quarter of the U.S.'s $1-trillion defense bill signed in December.

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Illustration of Premier Li Qiang unveiling China's 15th Five-Year Plan GDP target and priorities at the National People's Congress.
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China outlines 15th Five-Year Plan priorities, sets 2026 GDP target at 4.5-5% in NPC government report

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Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report to China's National People's Congress on March 5, 2026, setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% and outlining priorities for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), including technological innovation, economic security, public well-being, energy production and decarbonisation. The report announced 20 growth targets across economy, technology, healthcare and more, plus 109 major projects in six areas—up from 102 previously—to support doubling 2020 per capita GDP by 2035.

Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said Friday that Japan's initial budget for defense spending and related costs in fiscal 2026 totals about 10.6 trillion yen ($66.5 billion), roughly 1.9 percent of its 2022 gross domestic product or around 1.5 percent using projected fiscal 2026 GDP. Japan aims to raise spending to 2 percent of GDP by fiscal 2027.

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China plans a 9.3 percent increase in foreign affairs spending this year, the highest in three years and outpacing the military budget's 7 percent rise. Analysts say this signals Beijing's intent to consolidate geopolitical clout amid escalating global instability. The United States shows signs of withdrawing from its role as a world leader.

President Donald Trump released his fiscal year 2027 budget request on Friday, seeking a record $1.5 trillion in defense spending amid ongoing wars with Iran and operations in Venezuela. The proposal includes a 42% to 44% increase from the previous year and calls for 10% cuts to non-defense spending. White House officials described the plan as essential for restoring military readiness in a dangerous global environment.

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Official data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows China's GDP grew 5 percent year-on-year in 2025, reaching 140.19 trillion yuan and surpassing the 140 trillion yuan threshold for the first time. Carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP fell 5 percent, while air quality continued to improve.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned in a new analysis that high defence spending poses risks despite growth impulses. In Germany, Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) plans about 83 billion euros for defence this year. Worldwide, roughly half of all countries have raised their military budgets over the past five years.

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Fiscal strains from a five-year property market slump are forcing Chinese provinces to cut their 2026 budget-revenue expectations. Analysts cite the shift as a warning sign that intense debt pressures continue to drag down the nation’s economic growth outlook. Local governments are seen curbing infrastructure spending to prioritise debt control over rapid expansion.

 

 

 

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