中国宣布2026年国防开支增加7%

中国周四宣布2026年国防开支增加7%,这是五年来最低增长率,但仍超过经济增长目标,地区紧张局势加剧。此举支持到2035年的军事现代化,并提及台湾。李强总理强调提升作战准备水平。

中国国务院总理李强在全国人民代表大会年度会议开幕式上表示,2026年国防开支将增加7%。这是五年来最低增长率,此前三年均为7.2%,低于2021年的6.8%。整体GDP增长预测为4.5%至5%,国防开支增速超过之。 此举支持到2035年的军队现代化,并提及台湾。李强总理强调提升作战准备水平。 在政府工作报告中,李强表示:“所有这些措施将提升我们维护中国主权、安全和发展利益的战略能力”,并补充说习近平总书记负有最高指挥责任。中国旨在提升作战准备并加速发展“先进作战能力”。 这一宣布正值高层军事清洗之际。张又侠,习近平的资深军方盟友,于1月接受调查,而何卫东则于去年10月被开除。这使得最高中央军委通常的七名成员仅剩两人,习近平任主席,新晋副主席张升民。 政府继续致力于执政中国共产党对武装力量的“绝对领导”,李强补充道。关于台湾,李强誓言“坚决打击谋求‘台湾独立’的分裂势力,反对外部干涉”,推动和平两岸关系和国家统一。台湾政府尚未立即回应。 在东京,日本内阁官房长官木原稔指出,中国在其高额国防开支和能力上缺乏足够透明度。尽管中国试图通过武力或胁迫改变东海和南海现状,日本将继续构建建设性、稳定的关系。 国际战略研究所(IISS)表示,中国军费增长持续超过亚洲其他地区,2025年接近亚洲总额的44%。中国未公布其1.91万亿元(2770亿美元)预算的细目,该预算约为美国12月签署的1万亿美元国防法案的四分之一。

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Illustration of Premier Li Qiang unveiling China's 15th Five-Year Plan GDP target and priorities at the National People's Congress.
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Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report to China's National People's Congress on March 5, 2026, setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% and outlining priorities for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), including technological innovation, economic security, public well-being, energy production and decarbonisation. The report announced 20 growth targets across economy, technology, healthcare and more, plus 109 major projects in six areas—up from 102 previously—to support doubling 2020 per capita GDP by 2035.

Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said Friday that Japan's initial budget for defense spending and related costs in fiscal 2026 totals about 10.6 trillion yen ($66.5 billion), roughly 1.9 percent of its 2022 gross domestic product or around 1.5 percent using projected fiscal 2026 GDP. Japan aims to raise spending to 2 percent of GDP by fiscal 2027.

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President Donald Trump released his fiscal year 2027 budget request on Friday, seeking a record $1.5 trillion in defense spending amid ongoing wars with Iran and operations in Venezuela. The proposal includes a 42% to 44% increase from the previous year and calls for 10% cuts to non-defense spending. White House officials described the plan as essential for restoring military readiness in a dangerous global environment.

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Official data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows China's GDP grew 5 percent year-on-year in 2025, reaching 140.19 trillion yuan and surpassing the 140 trillion yuan threshold for the first time. Carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP fell 5 percent, while air quality continued to improve.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned in a new analysis that high defence spending poses risks despite growth impulses. In Germany, Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil (SPD) plans about 83 billion euros for defence this year. Worldwide, roughly half of all countries have raised their military budgets over the past five years.

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Fiscal strains from a five-year property market slump are forcing Chinese provinces to cut their 2026 budget-revenue expectations. Analysts cite the shift as a warning sign that intense debt pressures continue to drag down the nation’s economic growth outlook. Local governments are seen curbing infrastructure spending to prioritise debt control over rapid expansion.

 

 

 

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