Mexican peso closes stronger amid Middle East de-escalation

The Mexican peso ended the session up 0.15% against the dollar at 17.76 pesos per unit, per Banco de México data. Traders assessed the feasibility of a ceasefire in Iran ahead of Banxico's monetary policy decision on Thursday. Analysts forecast the currency to hold in a 17.65-17.85 pesos per dollar range.

The Mexican peso posted gains at the March 25 session close, appreciating 0.15% or 2.63 centavos to 17.76 pesos per dollar, according to Banco de México (Banxico) figures. Traders weighed U.S. negotiations for an end to the war in Iran while awaiting the central bank's monetary policy decision the next day. In bank windows like Banamex, the dollar traded at 18.20 pesos per greenback. The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.20% to 99.64 points, and Bloomberg's (BBDXY) gained 0.16% to 1,211.27 units. Ten-year bond yields stood at 4.33% for the U.S. and 9.45% for Mexico. Felipe Mendoza, markets analyst at EBC Financial Group, stated: “For the coming days, I expect the Mexican peso to hold in a 17.65 to 17.85 range. The ceiling will be capped by weak January growth data, while support comes from Middle East geopolitical de-escalation. If ceasefire details firm up, the peso could test 17.60.” Among emerging currencies, the Czech koruna and Polish zloty fell up to 0.54%.

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Illustration depicting the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady while signaling a possible hike amid inflation.
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Fed holds rates steady but signals possible hike amid inflation

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The US Federal Reserve decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged in the 3.50 to 3.75 percent range during its first decision under President Kevin Warsh.

The Mexican peso closed the Friday session with gains against the dollar. The move came amid greater risk appetite in international markets due to expectations of a possible agreement between the United States and Iran.

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The Mexican peso ended May 21 with a modest depreciation, shaped by Banxico meeting minutes and Middle East developments.

The dollar closed on July 1 at an average of 3,404.29 pesos, 36.54 pesos below the TRM of 3,440.83 pesos.

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The Philippine peso fell to a new record low against the US dollar on Monday. It closed at 61.75 per dollar amid rising US Treasury yields.

The blue dollar closed Wednesday, July 15, with a 10-peso increase. The official currency also rose after three sessions of declines.

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