Mexican peso closes stronger amid Middle East de-escalation

The Mexican peso ended the session up 0.15% against the dollar at 17.76 pesos per unit, per Banco de México data. Traders assessed the feasibility of a ceasefire in Iran ahead of Banxico's monetary policy decision on Thursday. Analysts forecast the currency to hold in a 17.65-17.85 pesos per dollar range.

The Mexican peso posted gains at the March 25 session close, appreciating 0.15% or 2.63 centavos to 17.76 pesos per dollar, according to Banco de México (Banxico) figures. Traders weighed U.S. negotiations for an end to the war in Iran while awaiting the central bank's monetary policy decision the next day. In bank windows like Banamex, the dollar traded at 18.20 pesos per greenback. The dollar index (DXY) rose 0.20% to 99.64 points, and Bloomberg's (BBDXY) gained 0.16% to 1,211.27 units. Ten-year bond yields stood at 4.33% for the U.S. and 9.45% for Mexico. Felipe Mendoza, markets analyst at EBC Financial Group, stated: “For the coming days, I expect the Mexican peso to hold in a 17.65 to 17.85 range. The ceiling will be capped by weak January growth data, while support comes from Middle East geopolitical de-escalation. If ceasefire details firm up, the peso could test 17.60.” Among emerging currencies, the Czech koruna and Polish zloty fell up to 0.54%.

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Illustration of Banxico's interest rate cut to 6.75% amid market declines, peso depreciation, surging oil prices, and Middle East tensions including US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure.
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Banxico cuts interest rate to 6.75% despite inflation and Middle East tensions

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Mexico's central bank cut its benchmark rate to 6.75% in a split decision, as global markets closed lower amid the US-Iran war. The BMV fell 1.65%, and the peso depreciated 1% against the dollar. Oil prices rose due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

The Mexican peso strengthened against the US dollar on April 20, trading at 17.30 pesos per dollar according to Banco de México, due to a slight weakening of the greenback tied to geopolitical disagreements with Iran. Experts indicate the peso's outlook will be shaped by geopolitics and key economic data. The exchange rate in bank windows reached 17.76 pesos.

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The Mexican peso appreciated 0.07% against the dollar on April 27, closing at 17.38 units, due to stalled negotiations between the United States and Iran. President Donald Trump canceled the second round of talks scheduled in Pakistan, while Iranian representatives traveled to Russia. Global markets showed mixed reactions to the uncertainty.

Humantong ang peso ng Pilipinas sa P61.30 laban sa US dollar noong Martes, Abril 28, ang pinakamababang antas sa kasaysayan dahil sa hindi tiyak na sitwasyon sa global dahil sa hidwaan sa Gitnang Silangan.

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Humantong ang Philippine peso sa record na mababang P60.10 laban sa US dollar noong Huwebes, Marso 19, dahil sa pagtaas ng presyo ng langis dahil sa hidwaang sa Gitnang Silangan. Ito ay nagiging mas mahal ang mga importasyon, partikular na ang langis na ipinapasok ng bansa.

Between May 1 and 15, the Colombian peso recorded a 3.84% depreciation, the largest among 22 emerging currencies. The dollar reached 3,796.78 pesos, driven by purchases from the Finance Ministry and electoral uncertainty.

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The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran, started on February 28, 2026, has driven oil prices above 100 dollars per barrel, closing the Strait of Hormuz and creating volatility in global markets. In Mexico, this could mean additional oil revenues of 406 billion pesos if the average price holds at 90 dollars for the year. However, the conflict has also depreciated the Mexican peso and accelerated inflation to 4.02 percent in February.

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