Variety predicts tight race at 2026 Critics Choice Awards

The 31st Critics Choice Awards are set for Sunday, with Ryan Coogler's "Sinners" leading nominations at 17 but Variety forecasting Paul Thomas Anderson's "One Battle After Another" to claim key prizes. The event, hosted by Chelsea Handler and airing live on E!, highlights a competitive field across film and television categories. Predictions suggest a split of honors, reflecting broad enthusiasm in the industry.

The Critics Choice Awards, organized by an association of about 575 voting members, often signal Oscar trends, as seen last year when "Anora" leveraged its win for Academy success after earlier setbacks. This year's ceremony marks the first major awards event, with Oscar voting starting January 12, making outcomes potentially influential in a close contest.

In film, "Sinners," a vampire-themed epic, tops nominations but is projected to secure six awards, including original screenplay for Coogler. Meanwhile, "One Battle After Another" is tipped to win best picture, best director for Anderson, and adapted screenplay. The acting categories promise variety: Timothée Chalamet in "Marty Supreme" for best actor, Jessie Buckley in "Hamnet" for best actress, Benicio del Toro in "One Battle After Another" for supporting actor, and Amy Madigan in "Weapons" for supporting actress.

Alternatives add unpredictability, such as Leonardo DiCaprio in "One Battle After Another" for actor or Ariana Grande in "Wicked: For Good" for supporting actress. Other categories include "KPop Demon Hunters" for best animated feature and "Sinners" for cinematography and score.

On television, predictions favor "The Pitt" for best drama series, with Noah Wyle in the lead role, and "The Studio" for best comedy, starring Seth Rogen. Limited series nods go to "Adolescence," featuring Stephen Graham.

This setup suggests a fragmented night rather than dominance by one title, underscoring diverse critical acclaim.

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Photorealistic illustration of 16 golden Oscar statuettes celebrating the record nominations for Ryan Coogler's 'Sinners', with movie poster and global cinema elements.
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Sinners earns record 16 oscar nominations

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Ryan Coogler's Sinners has broken the all-time Academy Awards record with 16 nominations, surpassing previous highs set by All About Eve, Titanic and La La Land. The supernatural thriller led a diverse field that included strong showings from international films and Netflix titles, while Warner Bros tied its own record with 30 nods overall. The nominations, announced on January 22, 2026, highlight a surge in global representation and the debut of a new casting category.

Ryan Coogler's 'Sinners' dominated the 98th Academy Award nominations announced on January 22, 2026, securing a record-breaking 16 nods and surpassing the previous high of 14 shared by 'All About Eve,' 'Titanic,' and 'La La Land.' Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' followed with 13 nominations, while Timothée Chalamet became the youngest man to earn three Best Actor nods for 'Marty Supreme.'

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The 2026 BAFTA Film Awards nominations have positioned Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' as the frontrunner with 14 nods, closely followed by Ryan Coogler's 'Sinners' with 13. Notable snubs include Delroy Lindo and Amy Madigan, raising questions for the upcoming Oscars. The announcements, revealed in London, underscore BAFTA's role as a key predictor in the awards season.

Warner Bros is positioning itself as a strong contender in the 2026 Oscars race with films like Sinners and One Battle After Another, despite ongoing corporate acquisition turmoil. The studio's internal chaos may paradoxically boost its awards prospects, drawing parallels to past studio successes during upheaval. Netflix's Frankenstein remains a rival, but Warner's theatrical focus gives it an edge.

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Variety has released its latest predictions for the 2026 Academy Awards, focusing on competitive fields like best documentary feature and best cinematography. Standouts include Geeta Gandbhir's 'The Perfect Neighbor' as an early frontrunner in documentaries and Autumn Durald Arkapaw's work on 'Sinners' in cinematography. These updates, published around November 11, 2025, capture the fluid race amid festivals like DOC NYC.

Teyana Taylor tearfully accepted the Golden Globe for best supporting actress in a motion picture for her role in Paul Thomas Anderson's 'One Battle After Another' during the 83rd annual ceremony. The event, hosted by Nikki Glaser at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, celebrated top achievements in TV and film. 'One Battle After Another' led film nominations with nine nods, while HBO's 'The White Lotus' topped TV with six.

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Awards season ignited with the 2026 Critics Choice Awards on January 4 at Barker Hangar in Santa Monica, California. Hosted by Chelsea Handler for her fourth year, the event featured a star-studded red carpet and nominations for hits like The Pitt and Hacks. Celebs like Noah Wyle, Ariana Grande, and Adam Brody turned up in style, eyes on the prizes.

 

 

 

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