As local government elections approach, the African National Congress shows little sign of gearing up to retain its power in key municipalities. Internal conflicts and service delivery failures in areas like Johannesburg and Ekurhuleni are overshadowing potential campaign narratives. Analysts suggest these polls could signal further decline for the party ahead of 2029 national elections.
The African National Congress faces upcoming local government elections with apparent disarray, as regional leaders remain preoccupied with internal disputes rather than voter outreach. Published analysis highlights that while the party must soon explain its record to retain councils, there is scant evidence of focused preparation. The 2024 national elections saw the Anc drop below 50% for the first time, forming a coalition government, and local results could accelerate this trend toward 2029.
Positive factors include the end of severe load shedding and slight economic growth last year, alongside President Cyril Ramaphosa's State of the Nation Address plans. However, implementation remains slow, and external pressures like rising oil prices from US, Israeli, and Iranian tensions threaten progress. Eskom's move to consult on disconnecting non-paying municipalities, including Anc-dominated Ekurhuleni, adds embarrassment, as the metro has resisted load shedding in the past.
In Ekurhuleni, provincial secretary Jongizizwe Dlabathi retracted his resignation following intervention by the Anc's national executive committee, amid tensions with Mayor Nkosindiphile Xhakaza. The mayor is suing News24 for reporting his alleged link to auditor Mpho Mafole's murder, drawing criticism for prioritizing legal battles over services. In Johannesburg, the city has underspent its capital budget, exacerbating infrastructure woes.
Historically, local elections foreshadow national shifts: the Anc garnered 45.59% in 2021 and 40.18% in 2024. With weak structures and few success stories, the party risks further erosion unless it shifts focus.
