Kalshi sues Illinois over prediction market tax

Kalshi filed a lawsuit against Illinois officials on Tuesday, challenging a new state tax on sports-related prediction markets. The suit was brought in the US District Court for the Northern District of Illinois. It alleges that state officials have overstepped federal regulatory authority.

The company claims Illinois is set to impose a 15 percent tax on gross receipts from sports-related wagers beginning next week. Kalshi argues that this measure interferes with federal oversight of prediction markets.

In the complaint, the firm stated that Illinois officials “usurped” the authority of federal regulators. The filing marks the latest step in Kalshi’s efforts to block the tax before it takes effect.

The Northern District of Illinois court will now review the case. No immediate ruling has been issued.

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Illustration of Minnesota capitol and federal clash over prediction markets
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Minnesota’s push to curb prediction markets runs into a federal preemption fight

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Minnesota lawmakers have advanced legislation aimed at restricting prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket, setting up a clash with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which argues federal law gives it exclusive authority over many of those products.

Rhode Island's attorney general has sued prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, prompting a countersuit from Kalshi. The legal actions challenge the platforms' ability to offer sports-related event contracts in the state.

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Venture capital firm a16z has filed an 18-page letter backing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in its disputes with states over prediction markets. The firm argues that federal law preempts state regulations on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. It claims state crackdowns undermine the CFTC's mandate for impartial market access.

Representative Bryan Steil introduced legislation to prevent members of Congress from wagering on prediction markets tied to public policy issues.

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Hong Kong's government has suspended its plan to launch legal basketball betting, citing the rise of prediction markets. Home and Youth Affairs Minister Alice Mak Mei-kuen said the decision considers local circumstances and evolving external conditions to protect public interest. Former lawmaker Doreen Kong Yuk-foon called for predicting technological influences in future policy papers.

Predict 2026 has attributed its decision to shift a conference from Las Vegas to New York to pressure from the Nevada Gaming Control Board. The regulator has firmly denied any such intervention. The dispute highlights ongoing tensions between prediction markets and state gaming authorities.

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Residents in Hong Kong continue to use platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi for bets on politics and other topics even after official warnings.

 

 

 

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