SEC delays review of prediction market ETFs

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has extended its review period for exchange-traded funds tied to prediction markets. These ETFs from Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares track odds on political races and economic indicators. The agency is seeking further clarity on their structure and disclosures.

The SEC has delayed the rollout of ETFs designed to track prediction market odds, as first reported by Reuters. The funds, proposed by Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares, would have provided investors exposure to betting markets on political races and economic indicators. The agency extended its review period while requesting additional information on the products' structure and disclosures. This decision pushes back the potential approval timeline for these novel investment vehicles. Prediction market ETFs represent an emerging intersection of finance and forecasting platforms, but regulators appear cautious amid ongoing scrutiny of crypto-related products.

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Illustration of CFTC officials discussing prediction market regulations in a conference room.
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CFTC proposes first rules for prediction markets

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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued its initial proposed rulemaking on prediction markets Wednesday. The rules aim to clarify which event contracts qualify as being in the public interest under federal law.

Minnesota lawmakers have advanced legislation aimed at restricting prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket, setting up a clash with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which argues federal law gives it exclusive authority over many of those products.

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Charles Schwab is partnering with Cboe Global Markets to offer yes-or-no options contracts on the S&P 500. The move marks the brokerage's entry into prediction markets, with rollout expected in the coming months.

The Securities and Exchange Commission is developing an innovation exemption to allow crypto platforms to offer tokenized versions of stocks like those of Apple, Tesla, and Nvidia under lighter rules. The plan, part of the agency's Project Crypto initiative, is expected within the next week. It aims to keep financial innovation in the United States while addressing investor protections.

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Trump Media & Technology Group has withdrawn its plans for Truth Social-branded spot bitcoin and bitcoin-and-ether ETFs. The move came after the firm pulled its registration statements with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on May 19.

BlackRock filed paperwork this week to list a new Bitcoin income ETF on Nasdaq. The iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, ticker BITA, is expected to begin trading as soon as June 18.

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Major cryptocurrencies declined over the past week while the S&P 500 extended its longest weekly winning streak since 2023. Bitcoin and ether fell nearly 3 percent each amid softer inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds. Smaller tokens such as Hyperliquid's HYPE provided the only notable gains.

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