Camacero projects 2% to 3% growth for steel industry in 2026

The Colombian Chamber of Steel (Camacero) estimates that the steel industry in Colombia will grow between 2% and 3% in 2026, surpassing several Latin American countries. The region is projected to see up to 4% growth. These forecasts draw from 2025 import figures, which indicated a slight increase.

The Colombian Chamber of Steel, known as Camacero, has projected moderate growth for the steel industry in Colombia. The industry group forecasts expansion between 2% and 3% in 2026, while the region could reach up to 4%, exceeding countries like Brazil, Chile, and Ecuador.

Regarding 2025, as of November, total sector imports reached 2.5 million tons, representing 0.8% growth compared to the previous period. Of this figure, 1.6 million tons were flat steels, 20% more than in 2024. Imports of RLF, RLC, plates, and coated products totaled 1.4 million tons.

Camacero notes that 68% of the market was held by the top 20 importers, with a concentration index below 1,000, indicating an atomized market. This, according to the group, promotes competition and lowers prices. However, it warns of risks for the current year, such as market contraction due to the Central Bank's interest rate hike, which could lead to deflation with a negative IPP.

Detailed projections include 2.7% growth for 2025, 2.8% in 2026, and 2.9% in 2027 in Colombia. The 2025 estimate would rank below countries like Argentina, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Panama, and Paraguay, but above Brazil, Chile, Ecuador, Jamaica, and Uruguay.

In import breakdowns, hot-rolled products accounted for 893,097 tons (60% of the total), followed by coated products at 346,004 tons (23%) and cold-rolled at 130,246 tons (9%). Leading importers were Acesco Colombia S.A.S. with 161,127 tons, La Campana Servicios de Acero with 9,982 tons, and Aceros Cortados with 6,958 tons.

Alacero stated that 40% of steel consumed in the region is imported. Camacero warns of excess production and a lack of consumers, which could erode profitability if not addressed.

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Illustration depicting Colombia's factory production rise amid falling sales and employment, with economic graphs overlay.
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Manufacturing production rises 1.4% in February despite sales drop

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Colombia's manufacturing production rose 1.4% in February 2026 compared to the previous year, but real sales fell 2.5%, according to Dane data. Andi president Bruce Mac Master said the figures show stagnation and that the sector has yet to take off. Employed personnel dropped 0.4%.

China's embassy in Colombia responded to the government's 25% tariffs on steel imports from countries without a free trade agreement, denying unfair competition against the local steel industry. It emphasized that Chinese products are of good quality and competitive prices, accounting for less than 0.3% of total imports in 2025. It warned that restrictions would raise costs in other sectors and harm employment.

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DANE reported that manufacturing industrial production fell 0.5% in January 2026 compared to January 2025, with real sales down 0.7%. This marks two consecutive months of production contraction and three for sales.

Colombia ended 2025 with a current account deficit of 2.4% of GDP, according to Credicorp Capital's analysis of Banco de la República data. This rise from 1.7% in 2024 stems mainly from a wider trade imbalance. While foreign direct investment covered the deficit, forecasts for 2026 point to increased vulnerability.

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Colombia's economy grew 2.2% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, according to Dane data. The main driver was state spending on consumption and public administration.

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