Debate over counter-reform in Cuba intensifies

Amid Cuba's economic crisis, a heated debate emerges between advocates of comprehensive reforms and critics pushing for a return to the past, labeled counter-reformists. Author Ruben Padrón Garriga argues that implemented measures do not qualify as true reform but as isolated, reactive actions. This exchange revives discussions on the future of the socialist model on the island.

The opinion piece by Ruben Padrón Garriga in La Joven Cuba, translated into English by Havana Times, critiques what it calls 'counter-reform' in Cuba. The author states that remnants of Stalinism are reviving options like reforming, revolutionizing, staying put, or returning to the past, aiming to silence critics who do not uncritically echo the party line.

Padrón Garriga argues there has been no integral reform, only isolated measures. He cites the expansion of the private sector promoted in the Economic and Social Policy Guidelines of the Sixth Communist Party Congress in 2011, updated in 2016 and ratified in the 2019 Constitution. He also points to the 2021 'Monetary Ordering,' which eliminated the CUC but led to multiple exchange rates and greater partial dollarization. Following the July 2021 protests, small and medium private businesses were authorized amid shortages of food and basic goods.

Yet, core issues remain: lack of autonomy in state enterprises and excessive controls on the private sector, resulting in dwindling national production, import dependency, and rampant inflation. The Enterprise Law, proposed to address the first issue, remains indefinitely postponed and was not discussed in the last National Assembly session.

The plan to 'correct distortions,' supposedly in place for a year, drew criticism from economists and citizens, forcing the government to launch a popular consultation. In 2025, La Joven Cuba published a dossier with proposals from nine economists, including eliminating ministerial subordination of enterprises, dual pricing systems, and redirecting public investment from tourism to agriculture, manufacturing, and energy infrastructure.

The author rejects blaming 'reformists' for current problems and criticizes actions like disproportionately investing in empty hotels or dollarizing state stores for basic goods. He references Rosa Luxemburg to argue that denying reform in the name of ideological purity condemns the people to misery. He compares to reformist governments like Lula da Silva's in Brazil or Morena's project in Mexico, and Vietnam's Doi Moi, which has achieved sustained macroeconomic results, while Cuba's Communist Party postponed its congress due to the severe crisis.

Padrón Garriga concludes that economic and political reform is needed to open participation spaces, avoiding factional fights and restoring hope amid international adversities.

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Argentine Congress scene with President Milei presenting labor reform bill amid CGT union leaders and poll results display.
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Government pushes moderate labor reform amid union debate

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Javier Milei's government advances a moderate labor reform project, discussed in the Mayo Council and open to changes for Senate approval before year-end. The CGT delayed its decisions until Tuesday's official presentation and prepares an alternative proposal to promote youth employment. A poll shows 61% of the population supports a labor reform, though only 43% backs the official version.

Cuba approaches a decisive moment with the 2026 Communist Party Congress, where the elite must choose early reform or face a permanent emergency amid structural blackouts and economic exhaustion.

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Cuba stands at a pivotal moment, with power outages, high inflation, and mass emigration straining its people. An analysis argues that renewal must come from within, driven by Cuban decisions, leadership courage, and civic participation, rather than external permissions. It calls for economic reforms and expanded civic spaces to achieve true stability.

In Havana on December 18, 2025, the National Assembly of People's Power held its sixth ordinary session of the tenth legislature, where eight new deputies took office and key issues like social justice and economic recovery were discussed.

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Cuban Prime Minister Manuel Marrero reiterated the need to strengthen government structures and the role of leaders in the country's current context. The statement was made in Havana on January 9.

In a follow-up to the Central Bank of Cuba's December 18, 2025, announcement of three official exchange rates (24, 120, and floating pesos per USD), Macroeconomic Policy Director Ian Pedro Carbonell Karel addresses public doubts in an interview. The measures protect essential goods, boost foreign currency inflows, reduce speculation, and pave the way for rate unification amid gradual economic adjustments.

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US President Donald Trump has resorted to inflammatory rhetoric, stating that 'going in and destroying' is probably the only option left on the table. Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a political ultimatum to Havana, demanding that Cuban leadership change its system or face a deepening blockade. Cuba responds by upholding its firm stance, as Fidel Castro did against past threats.

 

 

 

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