Following reports of JPMorgan exploring crypto trading for institutional clients amid favorable OCC guidance, analysts predict it will legitimize digital assets and funnel liquidity to rivals like Coinbase and Bullish—though competition may squeeze fees.
Building on JPMorgan's assessment of offering crypto trading services to institutional investors—as reported amid the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency's (OCC) December 9 interpretive letter permitting riskless principal transactions—analysts forecast a net positive for the sector.
"If JPMorgan offers crypto trading to institutional clients, it will be a big positive to the space," said Owen Lau, analyst at ClearStreet. "It will further legitimize crypto and increase distribution channels. The domino effect will likely cascade down to other banks. Coinbase and Bullish are well positioned to benefit from aggregating and matching institutional orders from this large distribution channel."
Lau anticipates JPMorgan, acting as a broker, will partner with exchanges like Coinbase Prime and Bullish for execution, boosting their liquidity. Compass Point analyst Ed Engel noted broader benefits alongside risks: "Companies like GLXY and BLSH benefit from higher institutional participation while COIN and Circle Financial (CRCL) face risks of margin pressure."
Experts expect banks to target liquid assets like bitcoin and ether via partnerships, not full exchanges. "Allowing regulated banks to facilitate crypto execution gives consumers more trust and removes friction that has slowed mainstream adoption," said Ilies Larbi, founder of Ouinex Exchange. Standalone platforms may face revenue pressure in spot trading and custody.
"This is a green light for banks to offer crypto brokering, but not a free pass to run full exchanges," said Mati Greenspan, founder of Quantum Economics. The framework enables banks to profit from crypto with limited volatility risk, reshaping distribution without displacing native firms.