Kenya's foreign reserves fall by Ksh 47.5 billion

Kenya's foreign exchange reserves dropped by Ksh 47.5 billion to USD 13.656 billion, providing 5.8 months of import cover, the Central Bank of Kenya announced. The decline comes amid export disruptions from the Iran war and looming fuel shortages. Officials say the reserves still meet statutory requirements.

The Central Bank of Kenya announced in its weekly bulletin released on April 2 that foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 13,655.70 million as of April 1, down from USD 14.02 billion the previous week.

The Iran war, which began on February 28, has stalled tea and meat exports to the Middle East, with shipments stuck at Mombasa Port. Tea farmers are losing an estimated Ksh 1 billion weekly as a result.

Kenya awaits fuel imports from the Middle East, with the government insisting on a 16-day fuel cover. An oil shipment is expected next week, but many petrol stations are already hoarding fuel amid uncertainty.

The reserves remain above the statutory minimum of 4 months of import cover. They serve to meet international debt obligations and stabilize the Kenyan shilling during volatility.

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The Kenyan shilling traded at Ksh129.72 against the US dollar on Thursday, down from Ksh129.30 on March 12, as the US-Israel war against Iran persists. Investors are rushing to the dollar as a safe haven amid surging oil prices. Experts warn of risks from imported inflation and rising living costs.

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Kenya's Central Bank Governor Kamau Thugge has attributed the Kenyan shilling's 18-month stability against the US dollar to strong foreign exchange reserves and other factors. The currency has traded between 128 and 130 shillings per dollar during this period. This marks a significant turnaround from its 21% crash in 2023.

Budget Controller Margaret Nyakang’o has warned that Kenya risks defaulting on Sh3.32 trillion in foreign debt due within a year without urgent action. She said proposals to cut spending and boost revenue have been ignored by Treasury officials. This could undermine funding for health, education and security services.

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The World Bank Group has announced a coordinated plan to provide financial aid to vulnerable countries like Kenya amid the Middle East conflict's effects. President William Ruto warned oil marketers against hoarding fuel for profit. This comes as fuel prices surge and some Kenyan petrol stations report shortages.

The Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina (BCRA) purchased US$42 million in the foreign exchange market, extending its streak to 30 consecutive days of currency acquisitions. Gross international reserves reached US$45.158 million, up US$102 million from the previous day. Since the start of the year, the BCRA has added purchases totaling US$2.089 million, including US$932 million in February.

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The South African Reserve Bank kept its repo rate unchanged at 6.75% on Thursday, citing the ongoing Iran war and rising oil prices. Governor Lesetja Kganyago said inflation remains on target but could accelerate if the conflict persists. The bank warned of potential rate hikes later this year.

 

 

 

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