RBI imposes $100 million daily cap on banks' rupee open positions amid Iran war pressures

India's Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has limited banks' net open positions in rupee foreign exchange dealings to $100 million per day, aiming to curb speculation and stabilize the currency. The measures respond to rupee depreciation driven by the Iran war, depleting reserves, rising crude oil prices, and USD-INR fluctuations.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced new regulations capping banks' net open positions in the onshore deliverable foreign exchange market at $100 million daily. This targets excessive short positions and speculative trading against the rupee, which has hit record lows due to pressures from the ongoing Iran war, elevated crude oil prices, and USD-INR volatility. Foreign-exchange reserves have been significantly depleted, prompting a shift from previous direct market interventions to these position limits. Previously, banks had greater flexibility in forex operations. The curbs apply strictly to rupee dealings, with no specified timeline for review. Financial experts view this as a proactive step to maintain stability without broader disruptions, as reported by The Economic Times.

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Dramatic stock exchange scene showing Indian rupee hitting record low of 90 against US dollar amid trade uncertainty and outflows.
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Indian rupee breaches 90 against US dollar for first time

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On December 3, 2025, the Indian rupee fell below 90 against the US dollar for the first time, hitting a record low of 90.14-90.16. Uncertainty over the US-India trade deal and foreign investor outflows were key factors. This raises risks of higher inflation.

India's banking system liquidity surplus has narrowed to ₹75,483 crore amid advance tax outflows of Rs 2 lakh crore and forex market interventions. Money market rates rose as a result, leading the Reserve Bank of India to conduct a repo operation. Economists estimate the RBI sold over $15 billion to support the rupee.

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The Indian rupee weakened further to breach 94 and approach 95 against the US dollar—a new record low—following its prior plunge to 93.73 last week. Surging crude oil prices from Red Sea tensions and fears of a prolonged Gulf war drove the slide, while Indian stocks extended losses into a fifth consecutive week. Limited Reserve Bank of India intervention has heightened concerns of additional depreciation.

The Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina (BCRA) purchased US$42 million in the foreign exchange market, extending its streak to 30 consecutive days of currency acquisitions. Gross international reserves reached US$45.158 million, up US$102 million from the previous day. Since the start of the year, the BCRA has added purchases totaling US$2.089 million, including US$932 million in February.

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

The rupiah rebounded at Thursday's market opening in Jakarta on January 22, 2026, reversing the previous day's weakening toward Rp17,000 per US dollar. The gain was driven by market euphoria over Bank Indonesia's decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.75 percent, alongside government fiscal measures for economic recovery. Analysts forecast trading in the Rp16,900-Rp16,950 range.

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened at the opening of trading on Tuesday (January 20, 2026) to around Rp16,977-Rp16,985 per US dollar. Analysts predict limited strengthening potential due to fiscal pressures and awaiting the Bank Indonesia meeting. Concerns over the budget deficit nearing the 3 percent limit add to currency volatility.

 

 

 

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