Ibovespa rises 3.24% on Middle East optimism

The Ibovespa surged 3.24% on Monday (23), reaching 181,900 points, driven by Donald Trump's statements on US-Iran talks. Brent oil dropped 9.6% to $96.3, and the dollar fell to R$5.23.

Brazil's main B3 index, the Ibovespa, rose 3.24% on Monday (23), closing at 181,900 points. The gain followed a relief rally after US President Donald Trump's comments on “very good and productive conversations [between the US and Iran] about a complete and total resolution of hostilities in the Middle East,” as reported by VEJA. Iran denied any negotiation attempts. Trump's remarks nonetheless boosted investor sentiment, encouraging diversification into risk assets in emerging markets like Brazil. Economist and investment specialist Danilo Coelho stated: “With this, more foreign capital enters the country, mainly in stocks and companies, which will have much less headache related to oil and freight costs” (VEJA). Banks led gains: Bradesco (BBDC4) +3.66%, Santander (SANB11) +3.11%, Banco do Brasil (BBAS3) +2.97%, Itaú (ITUB4) +2.96%. The dollar declined over 1% to R$5.23, aided by Brent crude's 9.6% drop to $96.3, easing inflation fears. Domestically, the Central Bank's Focus Bulletin raised 2025 IPCA forecast to 4.17% from 4.10% and Selic to 12.5% from 12.25%.

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Asian stock markets opened in the red on Wednesday due to the US-Iran conflict, with South Korea experiencing a historic plunge in its Kospi index. Positive US employment data boosted gains in Wall Street and the Mexican Stock Exchange. President Claudia Sheinbaum assured that Mexico is working to prevent fuel price increases.

The Ibovespa fell 0.61% on Friday, March 6, closing at 179,300 points, impacted by the Middle East war and a weak US payroll. The conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran drove up oil prices, raising global inflation concerns. Analysts see room for US interest rate cuts, but risks remain.

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Brazil's main stock index, Ibovespa, closed 2025 with a 34% gain, the highest since 2016, driven by foreign capital inflows due to US interest rate cuts and Trump's protectionist policies. Gold was the most profitable investment, up 65%, while the dollar and bitcoin recorded losses. Brazil's job market showed resilience with unemployment at 5.2%, but public debt reached 79% of GDP.

Wall Street's main indices show moderate gains in a low-volatility session, as investors digest retail sales data below expectations and await Wednesday's employment report.

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The DAX gained 0.5 percent on Monday, closing at 23,564 points, despite concerns over a possible escalation in the Iran war. US President Trump demanded support from NATO partners. The German government rejects deploying warships.

Mexico's central bank cut its benchmark rate to 6.75% in a split decision, as global markets closed lower amid the US-Iran war. The BMV fell 1.65%, and the peso depreciated 1% against the dollar. Oil prices rose due to the Strait of Hormuz closure.

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Wall Street markets closed mixed on January 7, 2026, with the Dow Jones falling 0.94% amid US labor market data. In Mexico, the S&P/BMV IPC index of the Mexican Stock Exchange dipped 0.23% to 64,871.70 points. The Nasdaq edged up 0.16%.

 

 

 

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