Ibovespa rises 3.24% on Middle East optimism

The Ibovespa surged 3.24% on Monday (23), reaching 181,900 points, driven by Donald Trump's statements on US-Iran talks. Brent oil dropped 9.6% to $96.3, and the dollar fell to R$5.23.

Brazil's main B3 index, the Ibovespa, rose 3.24% on Monday (23), closing at 181,900 points. The gain followed a relief rally after US President Donald Trump's comments on “very good and productive conversations [between the US and Iran] about a complete and total resolution of hostilities in the Middle East,” as reported by VEJA. Iran denied any negotiation attempts. Trump's remarks nonetheless boosted investor sentiment, encouraging diversification into risk assets in emerging markets like Brazil. Economist and investment specialist Danilo Coelho stated: “With this, more foreign capital enters the country, mainly in stocks and companies, which will have much less headache related to oil and freight costs” (VEJA). Banks led gains: Bradesco (BBDC4) +3.66%, Santander (SANB11) +3.11%, Banco do Brasil (BBAS3) +2.97%, Itaú (ITUB4) +2.96%. The dollar declined over 1% to R$5.23, aided by Brent crude's 9.6% drop to $96.3, easing inflation fears. Domestically, the Central Bank's Focus Bulletin raised 2025 IPCA forecast to 4.17% from 4.10% and Selic to 12.5% from 12.25%.

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The Ibovespa fell more than 1% on Monday, May 11, influenced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and domestic inflation data.

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The Ibovespa rose 1.71% on Thursday, June 11, driven by statements from President Donald Trump about a possible agreement with Iran. The dollar fell more than 1% and closed at 5.09 reais.

Global stocks reached record highs after President Trump indicated progress in Iran negotiations. The news eased geopolitical tensions, boosting technology shares in South Korea. Brent crude oil prices fell amid the positive market sentiment.

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The US dollar ended the session at 3,644.61, down 22.45 from the prior TRM. The move aligns with crude prices rising over 2% after US attacks on Iran.

Indian equities rose on the back of positive US inflation figures that reduced expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The gains came despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and oil prices near 85 dollars a barrel.

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Local assets traded mixed on Monday, June 15, driven by Argentina's sovereign rating upgrade and the United States-Iran agreement.

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