India's april retail inflation reaches 13-month high

India's retail inflation for April rose to a 13-month high of 3.48 percent, while wholesale inflation more than doubled to 8.3 percent. The increases are driven mainly by higher fuel and food costs amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

India’s April retail inflation stood at 3.48 percent, up slightly from 3.4 percent in March, according to official data. Wholesale inflation surged to 8.3 percent from 3.88 percent over the same period, marking a 42-month high.

Fuel and power prices led the wholesale increase, climbing 24.71 percent, with petroleum and natural gas prices jumping 67.2 percent. Union Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri noted that public sector oil companies have absorbed nearly 30,000 crore rupees in monthly under-recoveries since the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran began.

Food prices also contributed, with the Consumer Food Price Index rising to 4.2 percent. Commercial LPG cylinder prices have increased by 850 to 1,000 rupees since the conflict started. Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged restraint on wedding spending and foreign travel while the government raised import duties on gold and silver. The rupee has fallen 8.5 percent against the dollar in the past two and a half months.

The Reserve Bank of India now faces pressure to act within its 2 to 6 percent inflation band as upstream costs continue to build.

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2.6 percent year-on-year in April, up from March's 2.2 percent and the fastest pace in 21 months, driven by soaring fuel costs from the ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption. Government data confirmed the figures.

Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank is in “wait and watch mode” amid uncertainties from the West Asia war, with second-round effects being the real concern. In a speech at Princeton University on April 18, he stressed preventing supply shocks from embedding in price levels through inflation expectations rather than demand compression. He highlighted India’s significant exposure to the region.

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Building on earlier concerns over GDP growth projections, the escalating West Asia war is pressuring Indian equity markets and disrupting footwear and textile sectors through supply shortages and cost spikes. Prashant Jain of 3P Investment Managers views the impact as marginal and transient, while industry reports show input costs up 10-50%.

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Statistics South Africa data released on 17 June 2026 showed consumer food price inflation slowing to 1.6% in May, the lowest level in 17 months.

The Indian rupee sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar, fueled by soaring energy import costs during an ongoing energy crisis and accelerating capital outflows. This has intensified pressure on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to potentially hike interest rates, ending a pause in monetary tightening.

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

 

 

 

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