India's april retail inflation reaches 13-month high

India's retail inflation for April rose to a 13-month high of 3.48 percent, while wholesale inflation more than doubled to 8.3 percent. The increases are driven mainly by higher fuel and food costs amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

India’s April retail inflation stood at 3.48 percent, up slightly from 3.4 percent in March, according to official data. Wholesale inflation surged to 8.3 percent from 3.88 percent over the same period, marking a 42-month high.

Fuel and power prices led the wholesale increase, climbing 24.71 percent, with petroleum and natural gas prices jumping 67.2 percent. Union Petroleum Minister Hardeep Singh Puri noted that public sector oil companies have absorbed nearly 30,000 crore rupees in monthly under-recoveries since the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran began.

Food prices also contributed, with the Consumer Food Price Index rising to 4.2 percent. Commercial LPG cylinder prices have increased by 850 to 1,000 rupees since the conflict started. Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged restraint on wedding spending and foreign travel while the government raised import duties on gold and silver. The rupee has fallen 8.5 percent against the dollar in the past two and a half months.

The Reserve Bank of India now faces pressure to act within its 2 to 6 percent inflation band as upstream costs continue to build.

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韓国の4月消費者物価指数、石油ショックの影響で2.6%へ上昇

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韓国の4月の消費者物価指数は前年同月比2.6%上昇し、3月の2.2%から加速しました。ホルムズ海峡の混乱による燃料価格の急騰が響き、21か月ぶりの高い伸びとなりました。この数字は政府統計によって確認されています。

金曜日のインドの10年物国債利回りは、インフレ懸念や金融引き締めの観測を背景に7ベーシスポイント上昇し、6.94%を記録した。西アジア情勢の緊迫化によりブレント原油価格が1バレル100ドルを超えて推移していることが懸念を強めており、ルピー相場が対ドルで94ルピーを割り込んだことも重石となっている。

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Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the central bank is in “wait and watch mode” amid uncertainties from the West Asia war, with second-round effects being the real concern. In a speech at Princeton University on April 18, he stressed preventing supply shocks from embedding in price levels through inflation expectations rather than demand compression. He highlighted India’s significant exposure to the region.

CORE Indonesia projects March 2026 annual inflation at 3.5-3.6 percent, down from February's 4.76 percent. The forecast reflects a low-base effect from electricity tariffs, though Lebaran and non-subsidized fuel prices may push monthly inflation higher. Official BPS data is due on April 1, 2026.

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Consultancy firm Empiria reported that in February 2026, the poorest 10% of households faced 3.3% inflation, compared to 2.9% for the richest 10%. The gap stems from the heavier weight of food and housing in low-income baskets. INDEC confirmed a general monthly inflation rate of 2.9%.

インド・ルピーが対米ドルで過去最安値を更新した。継続するエネルギー危機による輸入コストの急増と、加速する資本流出がその要因となっている。これにより、金融引き締めを一時停止していたインド準備銀行(RBI)に対し、利上げを迫る圧力が強まっている。

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The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee on Wednesday kept the key policy rate, the repo rate, unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Amid uncertainties from the West Asia conflict, the committee retained its neutral stance. It has lowered the GDP growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for FY27.

 

 

 

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