NFL Week 16 playoff picture: Updated odds and clinching scenarios

Updating our Week 16 preview: The Broncos (12-2) and Rams (11-3) have clinched playoffs, while nine other teams eye berths this weekend. New odds highlight favorites, with Broncos at 73% for AFC's No. 1 seed and near-certainties for many contenders.

Building on yesterday's clinching overview, here are updated probabilities and key Week 16 matchups (all times ET):

AFC Highlights

  • Denver Broncos (12-2) vs. Jaguars (Sun, 4:05 p.m.): 73% No. 1 seed odds (The Athletic). Clinch West with win + Chargers L/T; top seed needs win + Chargers/Bills L/T.
  • New England Patriots (11-3) at Ravens (Sun, 8:20 p.m.): 70% East, 99% playoffs (NFL.com). Clinch with win/T or Colts/Texans setbacks.
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) at Broncos: 60% South, 97% playoffs.
  • Los Angeles Chargers (10-4) at Cowboys: 93% playoffs, 9% division.
  • Buffalo Bills (10-4) at Browns: 27% East, near-100% playoffs.
  • Others: Texans (9-5, 98% playoffs), Steelers (8-6, 60%), Colts (8-6, 8-16%), Ravens (7-7, 34% North).

NFC Highlights

  • Los Angeles Rams (11-3) vs. Seahawks (Thu, 8:15 p.m.): 53% No. 1 seed.
  • Chicago Bears (10-4) vs. Packers (Sat, 8:30 p.m.): 52% North, 84% playoffs.
  • Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) at Commanders (Sat, 5 p.m.): 99% playoffs; clinch East with win/Cowboys L.
  • Seattle Seahawks (11-3) at Rams: 30% West.
  • San Francisco 49ers (10-4) at Colts (Mon): 99% playoffs.
  • Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) at Bears: 43% North.
  • Others: Buccaneers (7-7, 77%), Panthers (7-7, 24%), Lions (8-6, 27%), Cowboys (6-7-1, <1%).

Full standings and paths align with prior coverage; odds reflect latest models.

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Nine NFL teams could clinch playoff spots in week 16

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Only the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams have secured playoff berths through 15 weeks of the 2025 NFL season. Week 16 offers clinching opportunities for nine additional teams across both conferences. Scenarios depend on wins, losses, and ties in key matchups.

The Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Rams became the first teams to secure postseason berths this season after Week 15 games. The Kansas City Chiefs were eliminated from playoff contention following a 16-13 defeat to the Los Angeles Chargers. Both clinching teams are positioned as favorites for the top seeds in their conferences.

Rapportert av AI

Updating our Week 16 playoff coverage: SportsLine simulations of the NFL's final three weeks project the Denver Broncos as AFC top seed and Green Bay Packers as NFC North winners. Building on current clinchers (Rams, Broncos) and nine potential Week 16 berths, tight races persist amid key remaining schedules.

The 2026 NFL playoffs reach the divisional round with four high-stakes games on Saturday, Jan. 17, and Sunday, Jan. 18. Top power-ranked seeds Denver Broncos (14-3) and Seattle Seahawks (14-3) host Buffalo Bills (12-5) and San Francisco 49ers (12-5), respectively, while New England Patriots (14-3) face Houston Texans (11-6) and Chicago Bears (11-6) welcome Los Angeles Rams (10-7). Updated lines show tight contests amid injuries and potent offenses, with models projecting close outcomes and overs.

Rapportert av AI

With two weeks remaining in the 2025 NFL regular season, the NFC playoff picture remains fluid, particularly in the South division and for the top seed. The Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will decide the NFC South title in their Week 18 matchup, while the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers vie for the No. 1 overall seed. Several teams have already clinched postseason berths, but key spots and byes are still contested.

The Los Angeles Rams remain the No. 1 team in multiple Week 13 power rankings, highlighting a highly competitive playoff race across the NFL. Analysts note the parity at the top, with no clear dominant force emerging after 12 weeks of the 2025 season. Teams like the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos also rank highly amid shifting standings.

Rapportert av AI

The Seattle Seahawks' controversial 38-37 overtime victory over the Los Angeles Rams has propelled them to 12-3 and the NFC's top spot, clinching a playoff berth and reshaping the conference race. The win, capped by a bizarre backward-pass two-point conversion, hands the San Francisco 49ers control of their No. 1 seed destiny.

 

 

 

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