Atualização das previsões do Oscar 2026: disputas expandidas e moda no tapete vermelho

Atualizando previsões anteriores para o Oscar 2026, no domingo em Los Angeles, analistas veem disputas acirradas em melhor filme ('Sinners' vs. 'One Battle After Another') e categorias de atuação. Novos diretores criativos em casas de luxo como Chanel e Dior veem o evento como uma plataforma para looks personalizados no tapete vermelho, mudando do foco em peças de arquivo do ano passado.

Com base nas previsões iniciais, a disputa pelo melhor filme continua ombro a ombro entre 'Sinners', de Ryan Coogler — que ganhou força após vitórias nos Actor Awards — e 'One Battle After Another', de Paul Thomas Anderson, que varreu os Critics’ Choice, Golden Globes, BAFTAs e Producers Guild. A Vogue traça paralelos com a zebra de 'Parasite' em 2020 em melhor filme principal e categorias de atuação. Novos diretores criativos em casas de luxo como Chanel e Dior veem o evento como uma plataforma para looks personalizados no tapete vermelho, mudando do foco em peças de arquivo do ano passado do ano passado em Los Angeles, analistas veem disputas acirradas em melhor filme ('Sinners' vs. 'One Battle After Another') e categorias de atuação. Novos diretores criativos em casas de luxo como Chanel e Dior veem o evento como uma plataforma para looks personalizados no tapete vermelho, mudando do foco em peças de arquivo do ano passado.

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Dramatic illustration depicting the tight 2026 Best Picture Oscars race between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners', hosted by Conan O'Brien.
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2026 oscars predictions highlight tight best picture race

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As the 98th Academy Awards approach on March 15, 2026, predictions point to a close contest for best picture between 'One Battle After Another' and 'Sinners.' Hosted by Conan O'Brien, the ceremony features strong frontrunners in acting categories, with advertising inventory sold out at record rates. Experts anticipate historic milestones in diversity if certain contenders prevail.

Following the 98th Academy Awards ceremony—where One Battle After Another won best picture and Sinners claimed acting honors—attendees from nominated films like Sinners, Hamnet, One Battle After Another, Marty Supreme, and Sentimental Value dazzled on the Dolby Theater red carpet with custom designs, debuts, and repeated designer loyalties. Couples including Paul Mescal and Gracie Abrams posed together, highlighting Hollywood's starry pairings.

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The latest episode of Variety's Awards Circuit Podcast features predictions for the 98th Academy Awards, set for Sunday. Panelists discuss tight races between films like Sinners and One Battle After Another. They highlight potential wins in acting, directing and technical categories.

The 32nd Actors Awards, rebranded from the SAG Awards to better reflect its focus on honors given by actors to actors, unfolded on March 1 at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles. Celebrities embraced the official dress code of 'Reimagining Hollywood Glamour from the ’20s and ’30s,' delivering elegant, sparkling ensembles with vintage flapper styles, beads, and modern twists on the red carpet ahead of the Netflix broadcast at 5 PM PT. Hosted by Kristen Bell, the event celebrated top film and TV performances as a Oscars precursor.

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The 98th Academy Awards on March 15, 2026, celebrated adaptations with Paul Thomas Anderson's action comedy One Battle After Another—loosely inspired by Thomas Pynchon's Vineland—winning six Oscars: Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Directing, Best Supporting Actor (Sean Penn), Best Editing, and inaugural Best Casting. Other literary adaptations shone, including Chloé Zhao’s Hamnet and Guillermo del Toro’s Frankenstein.

The upcoming BAFTA film awards on Sunday could influence the Oscar race, with potential upsets between front-runners like One Battle After Another and British favorite Hamnet. Disney's Zootopia 2, the highest-grossing studio film of 2025, seeks a breakthrough at BAFTA to boost its Oscar chances in animated feature. Industry observers note BAFTA's inconsistent alignment with Oscar winners.

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Ryan Coogler's Sinners won the original screenplay award, while Paul Thomas Anderson's One Battle After Another took adapted screenplay at the 78th annual Writers Guild Awards on March 8 in New York City. HBO's The Pitt swept drama categories, and Apple TV's The Studio claimed comedy series. The West Coast ceremony was canceled amid a staff strike.

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