Economistas preveem ganhos limitados para a rúpia até 2026

Uma pesquisa com economistas mostra que a rúpia indiana deve apresentar apenas um fortalecimento modesto no curto prazo antes de enfraquecer novamente até o final do ano.

A rúpia indiana deve passar por uma leve recuperação nos próximos meses.

Os economistas preveem que a rúpia subirá para um patamar pouco acima de 94 por dólar. Espera-se então que ela enfraqueça para menos de 95 até o final do ano.

Essa perspectiva contrasta com previsões anteriores de um fortalecimento significativo. A demanda persistente por dólares e os riscos globais provavelmente limitarão os ganhos.

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Illustration of weakening Rupiah notes and dollars with Bank Indonesia building, showing declining exchange rate to 17,668 per USD.
Imagem gerada por IA

Rupiah weakens to Rp17,668 per US dollar amid stabilization efforts

Reportado por IA Imagem gerada por IA

The rupiah closed weaker at Rp17,668 per US dollar on Monday, May 18, 2026. The government and Bank Indonesia have taken steps to maintain stability of the currency.

The Indian rupee continues to weaken against the US dollar. On Tuesday, it hovered around 95.36 in early trading. Since the beginning of this year, the currency has fallen by around 5.64 per cent.

Reportado por IA

Continuing its sharp FY26 depreciation—after breaching 94 in late March—the Indian rupee fell to a fresh record low of 95.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday, May 5. Oil prices exceeding $110 a barrel have intensified inflation and balance-of-payments worries, prompting Reserve Bank of India interventions amid curbs on foreign exchange positions.

A majority of economists expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep its policy rate unchanged at the June meeting. Geopolitical tensions and adverse weather forecasts are cited as key factors behind the anticipated decision.

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Indian stocks and the rupee fell sharply on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump signaled the end of a truce with Iran. Fresh US strikes on Iran and rising oil prices triggered the selloff. Gold and silver prices also extended losses in Mumbai trading.

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