Analysts say China’s yuan may be globalizing faster than Western data shows

Analysts say many yuan transactions are now routed through China’s own global payment system CIPS, which often does not appear in traditional data sets. This could explain the gap between Beijing’s claim that the yuan is the world’s third-largest payment currency and figures from trackers like Swift.

People’s Bank of China governor Pan Gongsheng said at the Lujiazui Forum last year that the yuan had become the world’s third-largest payment currency. By contrast, Swift’s monthly data showed the yuan ranking between fourth and sixth globally in terms of payment share in 2025. The latest figures put its share at 2.74 per cent of global payments by value in February, placing it sixth.

The discrepancy arises because many yuan transactions are routed through China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), which often bypasses Western-dominated networks like Swift. “As alternative systems emerge, Swift will be less of an accurate mirror for international payments,” said Xu Tianchen, senior economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

“Whether the yuan gains or loses share in Swift statistics is perhaps no longer relevant,” he added.

Analysts suggest this indicates the yuan may be going global faster than Western data sets capture, highlighting differences between official narratives and independent trackers.

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Dramatic illustration of Chinese Telegram-based crypto laundering networks handling $16.1 billion in illicit funds, per Chainalysis report.
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Chinese-language networks laundered $16.1 billion in crypto in 2025

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A new report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis reveals that Chinese-language money laundering networks processed $16.1 billion in illicit cryptocurrency funds last year, accounting for about 20% of all known crypto laundering activity. These Telegram-based operations have grown dramatically since 2020, outpacing other laundering channels by thousands of times. The findings highlight the networks' role in facilitating global crime while evading enforcement efforts.

China is building parallel financial capabilities rather than directly challenging the dollar's status as the global reserve currency. The e-CNY has become one of the world's most advanced central bank digital currency experiments, processing over 3.4 billion transactions worth about US$2.3 trillion by the end of 2025.

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The People's Bank of China has pledged to integrate the digital yuan into the New International Land-Sea Trade Corridor and establish a cross-border payment pilot with Singapore to promote the internationalisation of China's currency.

Национальный банк Эфиопии и Народный банк Китая договорились о проведении торговых расчетов в юанях и открытии валютных своп-линий по итогам встречи на высшем уровне. Эта инициатива направлена на увеличение валютных резервов Эфиопии в китайских юанях. Официальные лица также обсудили экономические реформы и интеграцию платежных систем.

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China's National Bureau of Statistics announced on Monday that the country's gross domestic product grew 5 percent in 2025 to reach 14.02 trillion yuan, meeting the government's target of around 5 percent. Despite a slowdown to a three-year low of 4.5 percent in the fourth quarter, the economy remained steady amid the US trade war.

Olayemi Cardoso highlights the role of cross-border payments in global finance.

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At the World Economic Forum in Davos, world leaders took veiled swipes at the United States, while China framed itself as a defender of the post-war system, analysts say. Western countries are recalibrating their approach to Beijing amid uncertainties from Donald Trump's influence.

 

 

 

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